Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7848

Bill Overview

Title: Protecting American Energy Act

Description: This bill prohibits the withdrawal of land from mining, mineral leasing, or geothermal leasing laws if the withdrawal is projected to have a negative impact on domestic energy independence. The bill also requires annual reports on domestic energy capacity, production, and consumption.

Sponsors: Rep. Moore, Blake D. [R-UT-1]

Target Audience

Population: People relying on domestic energy resources worldwide

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Geologist (Wyoming)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy will help secure jobs in the mining industry.
  • There are concerns about environmental impacts, but regulatory checks should help manage them.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 4

Environmental Scientist (Texas)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could harm local ecosystems and wildlife.
  • Better land management practices are needed to protect the environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Small Business Owner (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Keeping energy costs down is crucial for my business.
  • I support anything that can help stabilize the local economy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Retired Coal Miner (West Virginia)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Mining is part of our community, but we need to balance it with sustainable jobs.
  • My pension and community depend on this industry, so I'm torn.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 4 2
Year 20 4 2

Urban Planner (Colorado)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Shifting focus from mining to renewables is more sustainable long-term.
  • The policy could delay necessary transitions to clean energy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 9

Oil and Gas Engineer (North Dakota)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could stabilize my job for the foreseeable future.
  • We need energy independence, but not at the cost of ignoring cleaner technologies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 3

Energy Market Analyst (New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies should be geared towards renewables, not just sustaining fossil fuels.
  • Long-term risks with this policy could outweigh benefits. Better to invest in clean tech.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 8 9

Rancher (New Mexico)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our land is at risk of degradation, which could affect our livelihood.
  • There need to be safeguards for property owners and the environment before committing to such policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 7 9

Environmental Activist (Pennsylvania)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this as a step backward in the fight against climate change.
  • The policy could disrupt local ecosystems and communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 5 9

Tourism Manager (Nevada)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If managed well, energy projects can coexist with tourism.
  • Increased land use for energy should consider visual and environmental impacts on tourism.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 2: $102000000 (Low: $82000000, High: $122000000)

Year 3: $104000000 (Low: $84000000, High: $124000000)

Year 5: $108000000 (Low: $88000000, High: $128000000)

Year 10: $120000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $140000000)

Year 100: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Key Considerations