Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7824

Bill Overview

Title: Taylor Force Martyr Payment Prevention Act of 2022

Description: This bill expands the institutional factors the Department of the Treasury must consider when making a finding that a foreign financial institution is of primary money laundering concern and is therefore subject to special measures, including the prohibition of opening or maintaining correspondent accounts in U.S financial institutions. Specifically, Treasury must consider (1) the extent to which an institution knowingly provides financial services to Hamas, or to an agent of Hamas; and (2) the extent to which an institution, transaction, or type of account is used to facilitate or promote payments for certain acts of terrorism against U.S. and Israeli citizens.

Sponsors: Rep. Lamborn, Doug [R-CO-5]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals affected by disrupted payments to Hamas and related terrorism financing

Estimated Size: 2000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Compliance Officer at a Bank (New York, NY)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe that this policy is necessary to prevent terrorism financing, but the increased compliance workload is significant.
  • Our bank has to overhaul several processes to ensure we're not at risk of being associated with these types of transactions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Retired Veteran (Chicago, IL)

Age: 67 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support any actions that reduce the capabilities of terrorist groups like Hamas.
  • While I'm not directly affected financially, I feel that increased security gives me peace of mind.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Software Developer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might delay some of our transactions, increasing the friction in our international operations.
  • Security is important, but I worry about the operational impact on the business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Financial Analyst (Miami, FL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could deter international clients from engaging with us, worried about compliance hurdles.
  • In the short term, we'll see increased work assessing which clients may be impacted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

College Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's crucial to combat terrorism financing, though I'm personally not directly impacted yet.
  • This could be an interesting case study for my course work, especially the impact of policy on international security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Oil Industry Executive (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our dealings are legitimate, but we may face tougher scrutiny.
  • These policies are a double-edged sword, promoting security while possibly hampering legitimate business processes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

CEO of a Small Export Company (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might complicate banking arrangements with our buyers overseas.
  • While I support measures against terrorism, it should not create unnecessary barriers for lawful businesses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Non-profit Worker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy won't restrict our ability to transfer funds to legitimate partners that need support.
  • Transparency in operations and secure processes are important, but we need clear guidelines to ensure we're compliant.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired former Intelligence Officer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 70 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a strong deterrent to financing terrorism which I fully support.
  • I'm aware of the complexities in implementing such policies but believe they're necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Freelance Journalist (Boston, MA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm curious about the actual impact of policy on reducing terrorism.
  • Covering this topic might attract more readers and provide valuable insights into global security issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 3: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 5: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations