Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7810

Bill Overview

Title: Alan Reinstein Ban Asbestos Now Act of 2022

Description: This bill generally prohibits the manufacture, process, use, and distribution in commerce of commercial asbestos or any mixture or article containing commercial asbestos and requires the Environmental Protection Agency to publicize the prohibition and provide assistance to those who must comply with the prohibition.

Sponsors: Rep. Bonamici, Suzanne [D-OR-1]

Target Audience

Population: People exposed to asbestos globally

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Worker (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's about time they ban asbestos; we've known it's dangerous for a long time.
  • I'm worried about finding work if they stop using materials I'm familiar with.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

Environmental Activist (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a huge win for public health and the environment.
  • I'm thrilled that more people will be protected from this silent killer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

Industrial Worker (Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about my job security after the asbestos ban.
  • But I'm also hopeful for a healthier work environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 8 5

Public Health Official (Raleigh, North Carolina)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a necessary step to safeguard public health.
  • We need more resources to assist affected workers transition.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Retired Shipyard Worker (Houston, Texas)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 2

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad future workers will be safer, but I worry about what's already been done to my health.
  • It's a bit late for many who are already suffering.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 2
Year 2 2 2
Year 3 3 2
Year 5 3 2
Year 10 3 2
Year 20 3 2

Product Safety Expert (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This brings us closer to safer consumer products.
  • There may be challenges for companies, but it's worth it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Building Inspector (Miami, Florida)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The ban will make my job easier and safer in the long run.
  • We need clear guidelines on replacing asbestos with safer materials.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Landlord (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the cost implications of asbestos removal for my properties.
  • Hoping for financial assistance or incentives to comply with the ban.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Lawyer specializing in toxic tort cases (New York, New York)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The ban could reduce future caseloads related to asbestos exposure.
  • It may also lead to new legal challenges during the transition phase.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

EPA Regulatory Affairs Officer (Rural Oregon)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Implementing the ban will be challenging but necessary.
  • We need to ensure accessibility of safer alternatives for impacted communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $125000000 (Low: $90000000, High: $160000000)

Year 3: $100000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $135000000)

Year 5: $80000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $110000000)

Year 10: $50000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $70000000)

Year 100: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Key Considerations