Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7806

Bill Overview

Title: American Sovereignty Restoration Act of 2022

Description: This bill directs the President to terminate U.S. membership in the United Nations (U.N.) and all affiliated bodies. It also ends U.S. participation in all U.N. conventions and agreements. Funds may be appropriated to facilitate U.S. withdrawal from the U.N. No funds may be made available for contributions or payments to any U.N. body. No member of the U.S. Armed Forces may serve under U.N. command, and no funds may be used to support U.S. Armed Forces participation in U.N. military or peacekeeping operations. The bill also repeals diplomatic immunity for officers and employees of the U.N. and for officers and employees of foreign government missions to the U.N. The bill repeals various acts related to the U.N., including the United Nations Participation Act of 1945, the United Nations Headquarters Agreement Act, the United Nations Environment Program Participation Act of 1973, and joint resolutions establishing U.S. membership in the World Health Organization and the U.N. Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization.

Sponsors: Rep. Rogers, Mike D. [R-AL-3]

Target Audience

Population: Global population affected by changes in U.S. participation in the U.N.

Estimated Size: 331000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Diplomat at the UN (New York, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ending U.S. membership in the U.N. threatens global collaboration on key health issues.
  • I am concerned about my job security and future career in diplomacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 3 7
Year 5 3 7
Year 10 3 8
Year 20 3 8

Oil industry executive (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support the move for strengthening U.S. sovereignty, bringing back control over national resources.
  • The policy could reduce unnecessary international constraints on American businesses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Military officer (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could disrupt my current role and career progression.
  • There is uncertainty about future U.S. military engagements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 8

Public health researcher (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Losing U.S. funding and support in WHO may impact global health research and initiatives.
  • I'm concerned about potential job loss if projects are defunded.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 8

Political analyst (Chicago, IL)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a step back in international diplomacy, impacting U.S. authority globally.
  • The policy might lead to geopolitical instability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 9

Retired teacher (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With U.S. withdrawal, many U.N. supported educational programs could suffer.
  • This policy does not align with values of cooperation and development.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 8

Undergraduate student in international relations (Boulder, CO)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could narrow career opportunities in international spaces.
  • I'm worried about reduced U.S. influence in global cooperation efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 7 9

Business owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Changes in international agreements could affect trade dynamics negatively.
  • Uncertainty over tariffs and import duties worries me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 7 9

Tech startup founder (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy might lead to stricter or conflicting international regulations.
  • Could face challenges in data-sharing agreements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

NGO director (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ending U.S. involvement in the U.N. could drastically cut my NGO's funding.
  • This threatens essential educational and cultural exchange programs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 3 7
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 5 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000000 (Low: $1500000000, High: $2500000000)

Year 2: $1000000000 (Low: $750000000, High: $1500000000)

Year 3: $500000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $750000000)

Year 5: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $300000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations