Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7772

Bill Overview

Title: Border Safety and Security Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to suspend the entry of any non-U.S. nationals ( aliens under federal law) without valid entry documents during any period when DHS cannot detain such an individual or return the individual to a foreign country contiguous to the United States. A state may sue DHS to enforce this requirement. (Under current law, non-U.S. nationals who arrive at the border without entry documents are generally subject to expedited removal. However, if such an individual is found to have a credible fear of persecution, they are typically subject to detention while their asylum claim is being considered.) The bill also authorizes DHS to suspend the entry of non-U.S. nationals without entry documents at the border if DHS determines that such a suspension is necessary to achieve operational control over such a border.

Sponsors: Rep. Roy, Chip [R-TX-21]

Target Audience

Population: Non-U.S. nationals seeking to enter the United States without valid entry documents

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (El Paso, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might lead to heavier workload due to increased enforcement responsibilities.
  • There are concerns about resources and morale among the team.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Teacher (San Diego, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about the effect on students from immigrant families.
  • Worries this might lead to increased stress at school.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Small Business Owner (McAllen, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fears labor shortages if immigration is reduced.
  • Believes the policy could negatively affect local economy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

College Student (New York, NY)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried about the human rights implications of the policy.
  • Thinks it could increase fear among immigrant communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Recognizes a need for border security but worried about humanitarian consequences.
  • Hopes the policy considers humane treatment of asylum seekers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Activist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fiercely opposed to the bill, believing it endangers vulnerable people.
  • Plans to increase advocacy efforts against the bill.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 6

Immigration Lawyer (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerns about backlogs and clients being unable to enter the U.S.
  • Emphasizes the importance of legal pathways and fair trials.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 4 8
Year 20 4 8

Construction Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Does not see an immediate impact on his job.
  • Supports secure borders but stresses fairness in policy implementation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Farmer (Santa Fe, NM)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried about labor shortages impacting farming operations.
  • Sees a potential increase in costs due to labor changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

Policy Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Views the policy as a balancing act between security and human rights.
  • Believes data will be crucial in assessing the bill's impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 2: $1600000000 (Low: $1300000000, High: $1900000000)

Year 3: $1650000000 (Low: $1350000000, High: $1950000000)

Year 5: $1700000000 (Low: $1400000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 10: $1750000000 (Low: $1450000000, High: $2050000000)

Year 100: $1800000000 (Low: $1500000000, High: $2100000000)

Key Considerations