Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7757

Bill Overview

Title: Emergency Migration Response Act of 2022

Description: This bill authorizes the President to declare an extraordinary migration event that is of such magnitude that the existing infrastructure, including Department of Homeland Security (DHS) staffing levels and relevant government resources, is unable to provide an appropriate government response. Such a declaration authorizes DHS to take various actions to respond to the migration event, such as (1) utilizing the capabilities of the Southwest Border Coordination Center, (2) reassigning U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services asylum officers and interpreters to U.S. Customs and Border Protection border facilities, and (3) surging resources to process migrants in their countries of origin.

Sponsors: Rep. Slotkin, Elissa [D-MI-8]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals experiencing extraordinary migration events

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Officer (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is much needed considering the pressure we face during high migration periods. Allocating more resources and personnel will definitely ease some of the workload off our shoulders.
  • I am concerned about the budget allocation, as its proper handling is crucial to actually seeing benefits on the ground.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Immigration Lawyer (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems focused on short-term solutions, which may or may not help the underlying issues causing migration. A lot depends on the execution.
  • I hope the policy gets immigrants the support they need sooner rather than later in their journey.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Community Health Worker (Houston, Texas)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With this policy, the immediate emergency services should improve, but long-term aid for healthcare and integration is still lacking.
  • More information and transparency are needed to see if the policy’s funding actually reaches the communities in need.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Local Business Owner (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don’t see how this policy directly helps local businesses like mine.
  • Perhaps it reduces some of the uncertainty and chaos during migration surges, but the impact seems indirect to us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Activist (San Diego, California)

Age: 33 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could really improve the conditions at the border, but there’s a risk that it could still militarize the border further rather than create humanitarian solutions.
  • Need to ensure the policy is implemented with respect for human rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Teacher (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Better management at the border will hopefully bring stability to the regions, but I don't directly see a change in my day-to-day work.
  • It could lead to more resources in schools but that is still a far-off impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Software Developer (Austin, Texas)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I suppose it's a good use of resources if it helps manage situations more effectively, but I personally don’t interact with these changes much.
  • Interested to see how it might affect tech opportunities for new talents arriving.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired (San Antonio, Texas)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy helps families and children who are stuck during crises, but the details of the program are what really counts.
  • I'm concerned about ensuring safety and humane treatment for everyone involved.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

News Reporter (Miami, Florida)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The specifics of the policy implementation could set precedents for handling migration events in the future.
  • It will be interesting to see how effectively it balances security with humanitarian needs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Nurse (Houston, Texas)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a start, yet there are still glaring healthcare needs that remain unaddressed even if processing improves.
  • We need more comprehensive plans to provide healthcare access to migrating populations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1200000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1500000000)

Year 2: $1300000000 (Low: $900000000, High: $1600000000)

Year 3: $1400000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $1700000000)

Year 5: $1500000000 (Low: $1100000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 10: $1800000000 (Low: $1400000000, High: $2100000000)

Year 100: $2500000000 (Low: $2000000000, High: $3000000000)

Key Considerations