Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7756

Bill Overview

Title: Border Security and Migrant Safety Act of 2022

Description: This bill establishes within U.S. Customs and Border Protection a dedicated intelligence cell focused on sharing information related to (1) concentrated surges of migrants arriving at a U.S. land border, and (2) illicit smuggling and trafficking that may pose a threat to a U.S. land border. The bill also makes permanent the authority of the Department of Homeland Security to establish departmental joint task forces for various purposes.

Sponsors: Rep. Slotkin, Elissa [D-MI-8]

Target Audience

Population: Migrants and residents at U.S. land borders

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will likely streamline operations and improve safety both for agents and migrants.
  • Increased focus on intelligence might mean better resource allocation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Shop Owner (San Diego, California)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased border control might reduce my business traffic from Mexico.
  • I understand the need for safety but worry about economic impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 7 5

Migrant Rights Advocate (Nogales, Arizona)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might increase safety but should also respect migrant rights and humane treatment.
  • Monitoring for trafficking is important but should not lead to unjust detentions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 7 2

Customs Officer (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased intelligence sharing could streamline my work at the border.
  • I'm not sure how it will affect our day-to-day operations yet.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Local Business Owner (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While increased border control might deter crime, it could also slow down trade operations.
  • I'm hopeful for a balanced approach that supports both safety and commerce.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

College Student (Brownsville, Texas)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that my family might face longer wait times and scrutiny when visiting.
  • If implemented well, this could enhance peace of mind regarding border safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Truck Driver (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about cross-border delays getting worse with more security checks.
  • Enhanced safety is a plus, but efficiency must be maintained.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Retired (San Ysidro, California)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having seen issues in the past, I'm supportive if this improves safety without escalating tensions.
  • Hopeful that stricter measures will lead to a safer neighborhood.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Customs Broker (Buffalo, New York)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could increase demand for customs brokerage services.
  • However, if mishandled, it might complicate paperwork and logistics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Community Organizer (Laredo, Texas)

Age: 46 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might create more legal challenges for migrants.
  • Stricter monitoring is essential, but support structures must also be fortified.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $12000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $14000000)

Year 3: $13000000 (Low: $11000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $13000000, High: $17000000)

Year 10: $18000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Key Considerations