Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7699

Bill Overview

Title: PAID Act

Description: This bill rescinds specified unobligated funds that were provided by the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, which was enacted to address the impact of COVID-19 on the economy, public health, state and local governments, individuals, and businesses. Specifically, the bill rescinds specified funds that were provided for state, territorial, local, and tribal governments; emergency rental assistance; the State Small Business Credit Initiative; Federal Transit Administration grants; the Coronavirus Capital Projects Fund; and global health activities and programs. The bill also requires the rescinded funds to be used for deficit reduction.

Sponsors: Rep. Carter, Earl L. "Buddy" [R-GA-1]

Target Audience

Population: People relying on funds from the American Rescue Plan Act for economic, health, and stability support

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Public Transit Worker (New York, NY)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the stability of public transit jobs if funding is cut.
  • We need those funds to keep the trains running and safe.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 7

Small Business Owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The withdrawal of these funds feels like a setback for small businesses like mine.
  • I was counting on that credit to expand my operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 3 7
Year 5 3 7
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 6 8

Single Mother (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Losing rental assistance is terrifying. I don't know how I'll manage without it.
  • This policy could push me towards eviction, and with a kid, that's not an option.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 2 5
Year 3 2 5
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 6 8

Retired (Rural Montana)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't feel like it will impact me too much directly.
  • The government's deficit still feels like a very far away issue to me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Health Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Global health initiatives are important but hard to measure by personal impact.
  • I'm concerned about our capacity to respond to international health crises.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 9

Community Organizer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the local governments losing funds needed to support our services.
  • Many vulnerable people rely on these services - it's going to be challenging without these funds.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 8

Recent College Graduate (Seattle, WA)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.5 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any potential impact feels indirect, but I'm worried about my company's growth without these funds.
  • It's not a huge concern but it's important for our future stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 9

Renting Property Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried tenants will struggle without funding, affecting their ability to pay rent.
  • Cash flow stability seems uncertain if they can't pay.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 4 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 9
Year 20 7 9

Tech Industry Worker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 31 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Personally, this policy doesn't affect me much.
  • I'm more focused on local issues and tech innovation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 10 9

City Government Employee (Detroit, MI)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm deeply concerned that city services will suffer, impacting my job and the community.
  • These funds are vital for maintaining essential services in our city.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 6 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations