Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7669

Bill Overview

Title: Drug Shortages Shelf Life Extension Act

Description: This bill requires the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to issue or revise guidance to address issues relating to extending drug expiration dates. Specifically, the guidance must address recommendations to drug companies relating to (1) submitting stability testing data in applications for market approval for drugs or biological products; (2) establishing on drug labels the longest feasible expiration date scientifically supported by such data, taking into consideration how extended expiration dates may help prevent or mitigate drug shortages and affect product quality; and (3) using innovative approaches to stability modeling to support initial product expiration dates and expiration date extensions. The FDA must also periodically report to Congress certain information about requests to change the expiration date on a drug label, including the number of such requests from the FDA to the manufacturer and the rationale for each request.

Sponsors: Rep. Matsui, Doris O. [D-CA-6]

Target Audience

Population: people who use or depend on medications for healthcare

Estimated Size: 235000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Retired school teacher (California)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I always worry about running out of insulin during shortages. It affects my health when my supply is low.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Pharmacist (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Managing drug supplies is very stressful during shortages. Hopefully, extended expiration dates will ease this.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Health policy analyst (New York)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If implemented well, the policy could significantly reduce shortages and improve system efficiency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Pharmaceutical company executive (Ohio)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The initial cost of compliance might be high, but long term benefits could stabilize the market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 5

Hospital administrator (Florida)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Drug shortages disrupt hospital operations significantly. Extended expiration dates could be a solution.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Graduate student studying pharmacology (Illinois)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy encourages research into stability, potentially leading to scientific advancements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired nurse (Massachusetts)

Age: 72 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's scary not being able to get my medications when they run out. Anything that helps is a good change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

General practitioner (Arizona)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring medications are available to my patients is a huge part of my job. Extended expiration dates can help.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

Public health official (Michigan)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stability in drug availability is key for public health. This policy can potentially support that.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Cardiologist (New Jersey)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I often worry about patients not getting their meds on time due to shortages. This policy could ease these worries.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 3: $9000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $11000000)

Year 5: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 10: $6000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $8000000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $700000)

Key Considerations