Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7646

Bill Overview

Title: Emerging Signals Modernization Act of 2022

Description: This bill establishes certain requirements relating to the Food and Drug Administration's (FDA's) public notices on the potential new risks of approved medical devices (i.e., emerging signals), including with respect to the standards of evidence needed for such notices. The FDA must update its current guidance on emerging signals to align with the bill's requirements.

Sponsors: Rep. Guthrie, Brett [R-KY-2]

Target Audience

Population: Users of FDA-approved medical devices

Estimated Size: 66000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

retired (Arizona)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think better communication about medical device risks can really help me manage my health more effectively.
  • Knowing sooner when there's a potential issue with my device can help me talk to my doctor and decide what to do next.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

software engineer (California)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Clearer FDA communications will reduce anxiety about my pacemaker.
  • Timely updates can help ensure my safety and reliability of the device.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

financial analyst (New York)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhanced guidelines will hopefully lead to fewer device malfunctions.
  • Feeling more secure about my insulin pump's reliability would be reassuring.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

teacher (Texas)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the new rules will mean faster communication from my doctor about device issues.
  • It's important to me that any risk signals are managed promptly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

freelancer (Florida)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Knowing the potential risks early helps me feel in control of my situation.
  • I appreciate any information that might assist in my hearing journey.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

retired doctor (Ohio)

Age: 70 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The updates could mean more limited disruptions if issues are flagged early.
  • This gives me some peace of mind about unexpected device failures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 3

grad student (Georgia)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring any emerging risks are communicated helps me plan for my future.
  • I am optimistic that improved FDA guidelines will have broader health benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

construction worker (New Mexico)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might ensure I get more timely information about my hearing aid's issues.
  • I'd feel better equipped to make choices about my health in noisy environments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

chef (Illinois)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the policy will mean fewer device recalls and better action plans.
  • Peace of mind about my medical device options is important for my overall health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

retired teacher (Washington)

Age: 72 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Better updates about medical devices are always welcome in the senior community.
  • Increasing transparency about device issues can reduce stress and worry.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 2: $26000000 (Low: $16000000, High: $36000000)

Year 3: $27000000 (Low: $17000000, High: $37000000)

Year 5: $29000000 (Low: $19000000, High: $39000000)

Year 10: $32000000 (Low: $22000000, High: $42000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $65000000)

Key Considerations