Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7599

Bill Overview

Title: TPA Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of State to only permit passport applicants to select male or female as a gender designation.

Sponsors: Rep. Lesko, Debbie [R-AZ-8]

Target Audience

Population: People who identify as non-binary or gender fluid

Estimated Size: 1200000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Graphic Designer (Brooklyn, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have always been proud to use my passport that acknowledges my gender identity as non-binary.
  • This policy seems like a step backward for inclusiveness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Financial Analyst (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel bad for my friends who identify as non-binary.
  • I think restricting options isn't the right direction.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

College Student (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 20 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy disregards the visibility we're trying to achieve for gender diversity.
  • I'll continue to support advocacy groups.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Airline Pilot (Miami, FL)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy doesn't affect me directly.
  • I believe in following guidelines as they are set.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Freelance Writer (Portland, OR)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's frustrating to see this policy pass. It feels like erasure.
  • I'll keep advocating for a more inclusive future.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

High School Teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's hard seeing policies that seem to negate my students' identities.
  • I try to be supportive in the community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Retired (Boston, MA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Government policies should respect everyone, but this doesn't affect me directly.
  • I'm interested in how these changes pan out.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Software Engineer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Birth certificates and IDs should respect my gender identity.
  • I feel like I'm recognized less with these changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Lawyer (New York, NY)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy may set a precedent that impacts broader legal frameworks.
  • I am concerned about what this implies legally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Artist (Santa Fe, NM)

Age: 34 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Even if I don't need a passport now, the principle of the matter worries me.
  • I fear this symbolizes the reduction of our visibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $2000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $4000000)

Year 3: $2000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $4000000)

Year 5: $2000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $4000000)

Year 10: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Key Considerations