Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7586

Bill Overview

Title: Securing the Border for Public Health Act of 2022

Description: This bill authorizes the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to restrict migration and imports from foreign countries to prevent the introduction of illicit drugs into the United States. Current law authorizes HHS to restrict migration and imports from foreign countries to prevent the introduction of communicable diseases. Under this bill, HHS may also restrict migration and imports from a country if HHS determines that introduction of certain controlled substances (e.g., opiates, stimulants, or fentanyl-related substances) from that country poses a risk to public health. HHS must consult with the Department of Justice in making the determination.

Sponsors: Rep. Lesko, Debbie [R-AZ-8]

Target Audience

Population: People potentially migrating to the US from countries identified by HHS as drug sources

Estimated Size: 10000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Customs Officer (San Diego, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think any policy that can curb drug trafficking is beneficial.
  • This policy might make my job slightly more complex with additional checks, but I support it if it leads to less drug entry.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Logistics Manager (Dallas, TX)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My concern is that this may inadvertently delay import processes, even for legitimate goods.
  • While reducing drug trafficking is important, supply chain efficiency might be impacted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Community Health Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any policy that helps reduce drug abuse has my support.
  • I am hopeful that this will lead to a decrease in new cases of addiction.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 4

Small Business Owner (El Paso, TX)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that this might deter my customer base if migration is significantly restricted.
  • Reduction in illegal drugs is good, but I need my business to survive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Federal Agent (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 53 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhancing our ability to restrict drug influx is essential.
  • This policy aligns with our goals to secure the nation's health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

Immigration Lawyer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy may create additional challenges for my clients seeking asylum or migration due to perceived health risks.
  • While drug prevention is important, we must ensure we do not unfairly restrict those in genuine need.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

University Student (New York, NY)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm interested in how this policy balances drug control and human rights.
  • This could be a major topic for my thesis on international policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy can reduce drug availability and make communities safer.
  • My main worry is that it might be too limited in scope or mis-executed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Addiction Counselor (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While reducing drug entry is crucial, there should be a parallel focus on rehabilitation and treatment.
  • Policies should not only aim to restrict but also enable access to help.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can be a significant step if implemented effectively, balancing control with humanitarian concerns.
  • Continual evaluation will be essential to adjust approaches based on outcomes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $40000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $50000000)

Year 2: $41000000 (Low: $31000000, High: $51000000)

Year 3: $42000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $52000000)

Year 5: $44000000 (Low: $34000000, High: $54000000)

Year 10: $48000000 (Low: $38000000, High: $58000000)

Year 100: $64000000 (Low: $54000000, High: $74000000)

Key Considerations