Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7570

Bill Overview

Title: To establish certain protections for individuals involuntarily separated from the Armed Forces solely on the basis of refusing to receive vaccinations against COVID-19.

Description: This bill requires the reinstatement of individuals who were discharged or dismissed from the Armed Forces solely because they refused to receive a COVID-19 vaccination. Specifically, such individuals must be reinstated, at their request, in the same rank and grade they held at the time of their separation from the Armed Forces. The discharge or dismissal of such individuals must be characterized as honorable. Such individuals may not be denied retired or retainer pay or any benefits through the Department of Defense or Department of Veterans Affairs solely on the basis they refused to receive a COVID-19 vaccination.

Sponsors: Rep. Smith, Christopher H. [R-NJ-4]

Target Audience

Population: People who were involuntarily separated from the Armed Forces for refusing COVID-19 vaccinations

Estimated Size: 10000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Former Army Specialist (Fort Bragg, NC)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel that being discharged over this was unfair, but I'm optimistic about being reinstated.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 4

Former Navy Officer (San Diego, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope to return to serve my country and restore my career path.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Unemployed (Austin, TX)

Age: 26 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The inability to continue my military career has been challenging. Reinstatement would improve my circumstances significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 8 3
Year 5 9 3
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 8 3

Private Contractor (Fayetteville, NC)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am content with my current path, but I welcome the opportunity to return and gain benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Veteran Advocate (Colorado Springs, CO)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a positive step toward acknowledging veterans' concerns and restoring their dignity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Mechanic (Detroit, MI)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've moved on, but retrieval of benefits is appealing. I don't seek active reinstatement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Stay-at-home parent (Norfolk, VA)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've seen first-hand the impact on my partner, and reinstatement would stabilize our family life.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Software developer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've transitioned successfully. While benefits are an advantage, I'm indifferent towards re-enlistment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Former Navy Petty Officer (Honolulu, HI)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reinstatement would relieve financial stress and allow me to pursue my career in the navy again.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 8 3

Freelance Writer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 32 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm at a crossroads, and this offer of reinstatement is a welcome one.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $120000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $160000000)

Year 3: $120000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $160000000)

Year 5: $120000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $160000000)

Year 10: $120000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $160000000)

Year 100: $120000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $160000000)

Key Considerations