Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7566

Bill Overview

Title: NTZ Act

Description: This bill establishes an enhanced penalty—an additional prison term of up to five years—for certain interstate human trafficking offenses or coercion of sexual activity that occurs in a school zone or on or within 1,000 feet of a premises on which a school-sponsored activity is taking place or of a premises owned by an institution of higher education.

Sponsors: Rep. Jackson Lee, Sheila [D-TX-18]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in human trafficking globally

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High School Teacher (New York City, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could make our neighborhoods safer for students.
  • Enhanced penalties near schools might deter traffickers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

College Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy will make our campus feel safer.
  • Would like more awareness on the issue.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Police Officer (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy gives us more leverage in deterring traffickers.
  • It's crucial for protecting vulnerable school areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Social Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could help us reduce trafficking near schools that we serve.
  • The additional penalties are a positive step.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 4

School Principal (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The law is a good deterrent.
  • I think more needs to be done after penalties are enhanced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Graduate Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This makes me feel the government is working on important issues.
  • Penalties are a step in the right direction but need comprehensive action.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired (Rural Iowa)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Seems like a necessary measure, even if it doesn't directly affect our area.
  • I support actions that make schools safer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Lawyer (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased penalties can help, but legal aid and support for victims are key.
  • There is a need for a holistic approach to tackling trafficking.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

College Freshman (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The NTZ Act seems like a promising start for safer school zones.
  • It's reassuring to see action being taken.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Public Defender (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While increasing penalties might help, we should be careful about its implications on marginalized communities.
  • Focus should also be on prevention and rehabilitation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $40000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $50000000)

Year 2: $42000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $52000000)

Year 3: $44000000 (Low: $34000000, High: $54000000)

Year 5: $50000000 (Low: $39000000, High: $60000000)

Year 10: $60000000 (Low: $47000000, High: $75000000)

Year 100: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Key Considerations