Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7536

Bill Overview

Title: Civic Duty to Vote Act

Description: This bill requires each eligible citizen to vote in each regularly scheduled general election for federal office. The bill establishes a $20 civil monetary penalty for failure to vote. In the case of an individual's first violation of the voting requirement, the penalty shall not apply and the appropriate state election official must notify the individual that a penalty will be assessed for any subsequent violation. Further, the bill outlines an additional exception and waiver to the assessment of a penalty. The penalty shall not apply in instances when the individual certifies to the appropriate state election official that the individual has a valid and sufficient reason for not voting, or the state election official grants a waiver to an individual who either certifies that the individual cannot afford to pay the penalty or attests that the individual will complete one hour of community service. The bill prohibits state election officials from sharing information with law enforcement agencies regarding an individual's certification or waiver of the penalty. Further, the bill prohibits law enforcement agencies from using this information to subject the individual to additional penalties or criminal investigation. The bill also requires the Election Assistance Commission to (1) develop and publish best practices for states to implement this bill's requirements, and (2) make grants to states to implement this bill's requirements.

Sponsors: Rep. Larson, John B. [D-CT-1]

Target Audience

Population: Eligible voters for federal elections worldwide in countries with mandatory voting laws

Estimated Size: 259000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Nurse (Austin, Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's a good idea to motivate everyone to participate. We all need a say in our leadership.
  • The penalty seems fair and the community service option is a reasonable alternative.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Graduate Student (Columbus, Ohio)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Mandatory voting is an amazing step towards full participation; however, accessibility must be improved simultaneously.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Voting should be a duty. But, more education is needed, not just penalties.
  • It’s a start but the focus should be on why people don’t vote to begin with.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Software Developer (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm indifferent; I always vote via mail.
  • Seems bureaucratic, but if it gets more people to vote, that's good.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 4

Small Business Owner (New York, New York)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This feels like government overreach.
  • People should have the freedom to choose whether or not to vote.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 4 6

College Student (Orlando, Florida)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think everyone should vote—it’s our right and our job!
  • This policy would really push people to participate.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Machinist (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The penalty is a stress on people like me who can’t always make it to the polls.
  • If voting times were more flexible, this might work better.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Teacher (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 57 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm pleased to see an initiative promoting civic duty.
  • Hope schools will also emphasize this importance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Environmental Scientist (Portland, Oregon)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While everyone should vote, I'm worried about the added stress on underprivileged communities.
  • I hope the waivers and community service really help them.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired (Miami, Florida)

Age: 70 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's our duty to vote, but imposing a penalty seems harsh.
  • I'm okay with it if there are fair exceptions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $85000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $110000000)

Year 2: $80000000 (Low: $55000000, High: $105000000)

Year 3: $75000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $100000000)

Year 5: $75000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $100000000)

Year 10: $75000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $100000000)

Year 100: $75000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $100000000)

Key Considerations