Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7535

Bill Overview

Title: Quantum Computing Cybersecurity Preparedness Act

Description: This act addresses the migration of executive agencies' information technology systems to post-quantum cryptography. Post-quantum cryptography is encryption strong enough to resist attacks from quantum computers developed in the future. The act does not apply to national security systems. The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) shall issue guidance on the migration of information technology to post-quantum cryptography. Each executive agency must maintain an inventory of all information technology in use by the executive agency that is vulnerable to decryption by quantum computers. After the National Institutes of Standards and Technology (NIST) has issued post-quantum cryptography standards, the OMB shall issue guidance requiring each executive agency to develop a plan to migrate information technology of the agency to post-quantum cryptography. OMB shall submit to Congress a report on a strategy to address the risk posed by the vulnerabilities of information technology of executive agencies to weakened encryption due to the potential and possible capability of a quantum computer to breach such encryption; the funding needed by executive agencies to secure such information technology from the risk posed by an adversary of the United States using a quantum computer to breach the encryption; and a description of federal civilian executive branch coordination efforts led by NIST, including timelines, to develop standards for post-quantum cryptography.

Sponsors: Rep. Khanna, Ro [D-CA-17]

Target Audience

Population: global population with digital data potentially vulnerable to quantum computing attacks

Estimated Size: 335000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Federal IT Manager (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm optimistic about enhancing security protocols to stay ahead of potential threats.
  • The transition to post-quantum cryptography means more work and training for our team, but it's crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Software Developer (San Jose, California)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a progressive move towards enhancing cybersecurity.
  • Post-quantum cryptography will open new avenues for software development.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Oil Industry Executive (Houston, Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for such policies nationally, but our industry is not directly affected yet.
  • It's good to have government lead with proactive measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired Teacher (New York, New York)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I appreciate data security, not much changes for me directly.
  • It's a relief to know that stronger measures are being taken for our data protection.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cybersecurity Analyst (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is an exciting field to work in, and I'm glad the federal government is prioritizing it.
  • I look forward to applying new skills and learning post-quantum cryptography.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Public Policy Advisor (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This move is imperative for national security and should set a global standard.
  • It serves as a proactive step to future-proof governmental operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Small Business Owner (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I trust the government to protect national interests, but I wish more help was given to small businesses like mine.
  • Quantum computing is not on my immediate list of worries.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Data Scientist (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring secure data handling is crucial, and going quantum-proof is a necessary next step.
  • This policy reinforces my work and provides a new framework to operate within.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Government Contractor (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhancing cybersecurity through government contracts is beneficial for our business.
  • This policy encourages innovation and preparedness in the tech field.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Academic Researcher (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm excited to see government policies aligning with quantum research.
  • This could direct more funding and urgency towards practical quantum-resistant solutions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $160000000 (Low: $130000000, High: $210000000)

Year 3: $170000000 (Low: $140000000, High: $220000000)

Year 5: $200000000 (Low: $160000000, High: $250000000)

Year 10: $300000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $400000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations