Bill Overview
Title: No Aid for Abetting Illegal Immigration Act
Description: This bill prohibits the President from providing assistance to El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, or Nicaragua, unless the President certifies that the country receiving the assistance has implemented laws and policies that would cease the flow of migrants through the country to the United States.
Sponsors: Rep. Weber, Randy K., Sr. [R-TX-14]
Target Audience
Population: People living in El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, and Nicaragua
Estimated Size: 10000000
- The bill pertains to foreign aid related to migration policies of El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, and Nicaragua.
- Many citizens in these countries rely on US assistance for various development projects, humanitarian aid, and other programs.
- The legislation would also impact migrants moving through these countries intending to reach the US.
- These five countries frequently serve as both origin and transit points for migrants heading towards the United States.
- Individuals involved in policy-making and migration organizations within these countries would also be affected.
- US citizens or US-based organizations working with these countries would be indirectly impacted if their operations rely on foreign aid distributed through these programs.
Reasoning
- The main effects of the proposed policy will be indirect, affecting people in the US who are involved in programs related to the five mentioned countries or migrants originating from these countries.
- Organizations and individuals working closely with migrant communities or foreign aid programs may see significant impacts on wellbeing due to funding and project restrictions.
- However, the policy does not allocate direct funds for 10 years, meaning its effects will depend on how each mentioned country reacts and aligns with US demands.
Simulated Interviews
Social Worker (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 32 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 12/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I am concerned about how this policy might indirectly harm families I work with.
- A reduction in stabilization efforts in these countries could push more families into desperate situations.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 7 |
NGO Administrator (Houston, TX)
Age: 45 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Ceasing aid will only exacerbate migration issues, not solve them.
- Our work might become unsustainable if funds keep getting cut.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 4 | 6 |
Human Rights Lawyer (New York, NY)
Age: 29 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Migrants see the US as a beacon of hope; cutting aid will not stop them.
- This may cause more human rights abuses to be ignored as countries scramble to comply with US demands.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 4 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 4 | 8 |
Professor of International Relations (Chicago, IL)
Age: 52 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 15/20
Statement of Opinion:
- US policies often create unintended consequences in foreign countries.
- More long-term studies need to be done on showing aid cuts leading to policy compliance.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 7 |
Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 40 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 18/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I don't think this policy will directly affect me.
- I'm open to policies aiming to reduce migration pressures on the US border.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 8 |
Retired Government Employee (Miami, FL)
Age: 60 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 14/20
Statement of Opinion:
- It's important to pressure these countries to take measures against illegal migration.
- I'm hopeful this policy will push them in the right direction.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 8 |
Student (Seattle, WA)
Age: 23 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 9
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 16/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Cutting aid does not seem like a positive move, especially if the goal is human stability.
- I worry about the ripple effects on people in those countries.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 9 |
Policy Analyst (Washington, DC)
Age: 37 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 11/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I see potential for diplomatic fallout that could affect US standing.
- This might be too late for effective change without adverse side effects.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 7 |
Business Owner (Phoenix, AZ)
Age: 55 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- If this policy reduces illegal migration, it could stabilize my hiring processes.
- But if it worsens conditions, I may lose workforce options.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 8 |
Customs and Border Protection agent (Dallas, TX)
Age: 44 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 9/20
Statement of Opinion:
- We need comprehensive strategies, and this policy is part of that.
- However, I worry about international collaboration and its feasibility.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 6 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $0 (Low: $0, High: $10000000)
Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $10000000)
Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $10000000)
Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $10000000)
Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $10000000)
Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $10000000)
Key Considerations
- Foreign aid cuts can lead to increased instability in the targeted countries, potentially increasing migration pressure to the US.
- The alteration or cessation of foreign aid could impact US diplomatic relationships with Central American countries.
- Long-term effects on migration patterns could result in changes to US domestic policy needs and costs.