Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7527

Bill Overview

Title: Recognition of the 1995 Jordan Extradition Treaty with the U.S. Act

Description: This bill prohibits using federal funds for any activity in Jordan unless the President determines that Jordan's government has recognized the validity of the 1995 extradition treaty between Jordan and the United States.

Sponsors: Rep. Steube, W. Gregory [R-FL-17]

Target Audience

Population: Global citizens involved with or affected by the U.S.-Jordan extradition relationship

Estimated Size: 10000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Business Owner (Amman, Jordan)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the treaty is not recognized, it will complicate my business dealings with federal contractors. My operations rely on both U.S. and Jordanian approvals.
  • I hope the federal restrictions do not affect business stability, though I fear a possible impact on logistics and overall operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

International Lawyer (Washington D.C., USA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The potential recognition of the treaty could increase my workload as extradition cases may start moving faster.
  • It's a crucial step towards clarifying legal routes for clients, impacting how cases will be managed or postponed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Retired Veteran (Los Angeles, USA)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am worried the federal restrictions will pull funding from the charity's projects in Jordan.
  • It feels like the community projects that foster goodwill might suffer due to a political issue.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Graduate Student (New York, USA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could be an interesting point of study for my research, especially how it affects U.S.-Jordan relations.
  • I am curious about its ripple effects, though personally, it doesn’t change much in my life immediately.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

U.S. Embassy Official (Amman, Jordan)

Age: 46 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could strain some bilateral projects if funding becomes an issue, impacting diplomatic relations we’ve built over years.
  • It's critical to communicate effectively between the parties involved to mitigate confusion or operational halts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

NGO Program Manager (Chicago, USA)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We rely on grants that might be compromised if funding is halted due to the treaty issue.
  • The local programs are crucial, and this uncertainty could put them at risk.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Federal Contractor (Houston, USA)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If funding is restricted, many routine operations could see delays, and this impacts both my work and personal stress levels.
  • There's a larger impact beyond contracts—it affects the career stability for professionals like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 8

Public Policy Analyst (Miami, USA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Recognition of the treaty might resolve longstanding legal ambiguities, influencing both government and private sectors.
  • I expect interface between the countries will shift inevitably, particularly where U.S. funding and legal circumstances interact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Extradition Consultant (San Francisco, USA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Recognizing the treaty is pivotal for streamlining extradition processes. This could potentially open up new business avenues.
  • It brings a much-needed clarity to legal routes and impacts our operational preparedness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Professor (Boston, USA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While it is interesting academically, the immediate practical impacts for me are minimal.
  • The case of U.S.-Jordan relations under this scrutiny offers new teaching material but otherwise doesn't change my day-to-day work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Year 2: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Year 3: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Year 5: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Year 10: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Year 100: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Key Considerations