Bill Overview
Title: Bullets Not Batteries Act
Description: This bill prohibits the use of authorities under the Defense Production Act of 1950 with respect to electric vehicles, electric vehicle batteries, electric vehicle charging stations or infrastructure, or obtaining critical minerals for use in manufacturing of any such items.
Sponsors: Rep. Perry, Scott [R-PA-10]
Target Audience
Population: People dependent on or impacted by the electric vehicle (EV) sector and related industries
Estimated Size: 100000000
- The bill affects the electric vehicle (EV) industry and related sectors, which have a significant global presence.
- Countries with substantial electric vehicle production and consumption like the USA, China, and EU nations would be notably impacted.
- Governments relying on the Defense Production Act for advancing EV infrastructure would need to explore alternative strategies.
- Individuals employed in the EV manufacturing sector may experience changes due to shifts in government support.
- Environmentalists and communities advocating for renewable energy and reduced emissions will be affected by the slowed momentum of EV adoption.
Reasoning
- The policy is expected to directly affect those involved in the electric vehicle (EV) industry, including manufacturers, supply chain workers, and infrastructure developers. It could also indirectly impact consumers contemplating EV purchases due to potential changes in pricing and availability.
- Given that the policy targets funding under the Defense Production Act, it is unlikely that the very low-income sections will be directly affected. Middle-to-high income groups, especially those in tech and automotive sectors, or those engaged in advocacy for sustainable energy, could experience noticeable impacts.
- Those in traditional automotive industries or fossil fuel sectors might perceive this as a beneficial policy, as it could slow down the transition to electric vehicles, keeping demand for conventional vehicles stable.
Simulated Interviews
Software Engineer (Austin, Texas)
Age: 31 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The shift towards EVs is crucial for battling climate change.
- This policy could slow down progress and innovation in clean energy sectors.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 9 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 10 | 10 |
Auto worker (Detroit, Michigan)
Age: 46 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I've seen jobs switch from traditional auto to EVs.
- Restricting these developments may harm job security.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Environmental Scientist (Palo Alto, California)
Age: 28 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Clean energy and EVs are the future. Any delay is counterproductive for the environment.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 9 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 10 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 10 |
Oil Industry Executive (Houston, Texas)
Age: 55 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Limiting support to EVs might stall an unsustainable rush to replace traditional fuel,
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Public Transit Advocate (New York City, New York)
Age: 38 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Public transit projects could suffer without Defense Production Act leverage.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Graduate Student in Environmental Policy (Los Angeles, California)
Age: 25 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I believe this policy works against the kind of sustainable future I am studying to create.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 10 |
Retired Auto Mechanic (Nashville, Tennessee)
Age: 62 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 1.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Slowing EV production gives people like me more time to adjust before the shift is unavoidable.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 4 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 4 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 4 |
EV Sales Representative (Seattle, Washington)
Age: 29 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Our sales rely on incentives and government support which might be reduced. I'm concerned about my job.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 10 |
City Planner (Phoenix, Arizona)
Age: 45 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 4.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Infrastructure projects linked to EVs may face hurdles without dedicated federal resources.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Photovoltaic Technician (Boulder, Colorado)
Age: 34 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- It's disappointing. Renewables and EVs should be fully supported to combat climate change.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 10 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)
Year 2: $160000000 (Low: $110000000, High: $210000000)
Year 3: $170000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $220000000)
Year 5: $190000000 (Low: $140000000, High: $240000000)
Year 10: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)
Year 100: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)
Key Considerations
- The bill could slow the momentum of the EV transition, impacting environmental goals.
- Industry adaptations might involve significant initial costs but could eventually lead to more efficient or alternative production strategies.
- Reactions from international trade partners relying on U.S. advancements in EV technology might affect economic relations.