Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7468

Bill Overview

Title: SECURE Food Act

Description: This bill requires the Office of the Director of National Intelligence to report to Congress on the effects of increased production and consumption of alternative proteins (e.g., proteins produced from plants or fungi) on the long-term national security interests of the United States.

Sponsors: Rep. Krishnamoorthi, Raja [D-IL-8]

Target Audience

Population: Global population affected by food supply chain changes due to alternative proteins

Estimated Size: 331000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think increasing alternative protein consumption is critical for both health and environmental reasons.
  • This policy could help accelerate a necessary shift towards more sustainable food resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Farmer (Des Moines, IA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry that a major shift towards alternative proteins could damage traditional farming industries.
  • It's important that policies support traditional farmers during this transition.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 5

Food Science Researcher (Austin, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could validate and guide research efforts in the alternative protein industry.
  • Having government insights could lead to more funding and development in this field.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 10 8
Year 10 10 8
Year 20 10 8

Financial Analyst (Boston, MA)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Understanding the financial implications of this shift is crucial.
  • This policy seems more about long-term effects than immediate change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Climate Activist (New York, NY)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Alternative proteins play a huge role in reducing greenhouse gases.
  • I believe this policy can support environmental goals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Restaurant Owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A shift in consumer preferences could impact restaurants like mine.
  • Not sure government intervention is necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 3 4

College Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Young people are likely to embrace alternative proteins.
  • This kind of policy showcases government acknowledgment of important issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 10 8
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 9 8

Nutritionist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A shift to alternative proteins should be balanced and mindful of nutritional needs.
  • Interested to see how this policy might guide consumer habits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Software Developer (Salt Lake City, UT)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see this affecting my personal choice much.
  • Not sure how this translates to national security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Health Inspector (Miami, FL)

Age: 53 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The rise of plant-based options is undeniable in our food inspections.
  • Government reports could lead to better standardized guidelines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations