Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7458

Bill Overview

Title: Public Health and Border Security Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to meet conditions related to notification and planning before terminating certain restrictions on imports and individuals entering the United States. Current law authorizes HHS to restrict entries and imports from foreign countries to prevent the introduction of communicable diseases. HHS exercised this authority as part of its COVID-19 response, including to allow for the expulsion of undocumented migrants at the border without any asylum processing. Under this bill, HHS may not terminate the restrictions for (1) at least 60 days after it notifies Congress of the end of the COVID-19 emergency, and (2) at least 30 days after it submits to Congress a plan for addressing the possible influx of migrants or imports resulting from lifting the restrictions.

Sponsors: Rep. Golden, Jared F. [D-ME-2]

Target Audience

Population: People who might be restricted from entering the US due to public health measures

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (San Diego, CA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy makes my job a bit easier by keeping health measures in place.
  • It's unfortunate for some families trying to cross but necessary for safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 6 6

Community Health Worker (Tucson, AZ)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems to delay much-needed reunifications.
  • I'm concerned about prolonged uncertainty for those we serve.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 6

Freelance Journalist (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Extends the focus on health, but might be overcautious.
  • Interested in seeing the detailed plans by HHS.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Small Business Owner (El Paso, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy could stabilize supply issues, but could also keep some customers away.
  • Mixed feelings about trade-offs between security and commerce.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 5 5

Policy Analyst (Washington, DC)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a delicate balance between health security and migration rights.
  • Looking forward to analyzing the impact on migration patterns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

College Student (Houston, TX)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a necessary measure but feels like it's extending emergency powers unnecessarily.
  • Important to see if this sets a precedent for future public health decisions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Epidemiologist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Prevention of diseases is paramount, this policy helps maintain vigilance.
  • Concerned about any negative impact on asylum and migration processes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Nurse (Miami, FL)

Age: 72 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything that protects our borders from disease is valuable.
  • Concerned about reducing humanitarian support at border crossings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Import/Export Manager (Chicago, IL)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could influence import trends and policies, but the impact might be minimal for businesses already adapting to COVID-19 regulations.
  • Waiting to see more about the specific plans from HHS.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 6

Immigration Lawyer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 66 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's crucial to maintain health standards, but also need humane treatment for potential migrants.
  • Policy might add delay to entry processes, impacting family reunification efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $8000000)

Year 5: $3000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $5000000)

Year 10: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Year 100: $100000 (Low: $50000, High: $150000)

Key Considerations