Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7450

Bill Overview

Title: Build the Wall Now Act

Description: This bill addresses issues related to the construction of a barrier along the U.S.-Mexico border, such as (1) requiring the Department of Homeland Security to resume any project related to the construction of such a barrier (and any related infrastructure); and (2) exempting such construction projects from various legal requirements, including requirements stemming from the Administrative Procedure Act, the Clean Air Act, and the Clean Water Act.

Sponsors: Rep. Budd, Ted [R-NC-13]

Target Audience

Population: People living near the US-Mexico border and migrants

Estimated Size: 7000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Worker (Tucson, AZ)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the policy passes, it secures more jobs for me and my colleagues.
  • I am worried about the environmental impact and what it means for local wildlife.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Border Patrol Agent (San Diego, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will increase our workload substantially, which may mean longer hours.
  • Although it's more work, it could mean more job security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Student (McAllen, TX)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned that bypassing environmental regulations can cause long-term harm to our region's ecosystem.
  • I'm involved in activist groups that might face more challenges if this policy is enacted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Retired (El Paso, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't believe this construction is good for community relations.
  • We have more pressing issues than a wall, like community health and cohesion.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Small Business Owner (Nogales, AZ)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about how the construction will deter customers from Mexico.
  • The family will have a harder time visiting if the crossing becomes more difficult.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Community Organizer (Brownsville, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy directly opposes the work I am doing to support migrants seeking asylum.
  • We need more humanitarian responses, not more barriers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 4 6

Truck Driver (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There will likely be more checkpoints, slowing down delivery schedules.
  • Security might be tighter, but could lead to more delays.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Immigration Lawyer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The construction of the wall means more hurdles in legal processes for migrants.
  • My clients would face greater difficulties, and this complicates my work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Environmental Scientist (Las Cruces, NM)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could create irreversible damage to our delicate desert ecosystems.
  • Exempting such projects from environmental protection laws is reckless.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 4 6

Teacher (Laredo, TX)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With more separation, children from mixed-status families will experience heightened anxiety and insecurity.
  • The relations between our students and the broader community might suffer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $3000000000 (Low: $2500000000, High: $3500000000)

Year 2: $3000000000 (Low: $2500000000, High: $3500000000)

Year 3: $3000000000 (Low: $2500000000, High: $3500000000)

Year 5: $3000000000 (Low: $2500000000, High: $3500000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations