Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7441

Bill Overview

Title: Acute Labor Shortage Solutions Act of 2022

Description: This bill authorizes the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to exempt non-U.S. nationals ( aliens under federal law) from certain annual caps on admission upon a determination that, due to an acute labor shortage, the needs of American businesses in certain sectors cannot be met with American workers. Such exemptions shall be available from FY2022 through FY2024 and may be available for an additional fiscal year if the Department of Labor determines such an extension is warranted due to U.S. labor shortages.

Sponsors: Rep. Bourdeaux, Carolyn [D-GA-7]

Target Audience

Population: Foreign workers and immigrants potentially eligible for labor shortage exemption

Estimated Size: 10000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Farm Owner (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could immensely help my farm get through the peak season without labor shortages.
  • I'm concerned about fair pay expectations, but having a reliable workforce is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 6 3

Construction Worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There might be more competition for jobs, but this act could stabilize employment in our sector if businesses thrive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

University Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could be a valuable case study in workforce dynamics and immigration policy impacts on local economies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Healthcare Administrator (New York, NY)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If this policy helps provide more workers for healthcare, it could relieve immense pressure on existing staff.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 5 3

Manufacturing Manager (Minneapolis, MN)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.5 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Exemptions could fill critical roles, ensuring we meet production deadlines and reduce overtime pressures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Unemployed Software Specialist (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased IT professional availability might mean I have fewer opportunities, but if it revitalizes businesses, it could open new roles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 5

Restaurant Owner (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Consistent staffing is essential. If more workers are available, it could help my business greatly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 3

Supply Chain Analyst (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.5 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having more labor could potentially alleviate bottlenecks, stabilizing supply chain operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Small Business Owner (Charlotte, NC)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about how foreign labor might affect local employment and wages, but if it keeps businesses afloat, there might be positives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 47 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More tech talent would assist in driving innovation further, helping us maintain competitive edges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $200000000)

Year 3: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $200000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations