Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7420

Bill Overview

Title: Responsible Budget Targets Act of 2022

Description: This bill modifies the federal budget process to establish new spending caps that are adjusted annually based on factors such as the amount of revenue and the growth of the gross domestic product.

Sponsors: Rep. Emmer, Tom [R-MN-6]

Target Audience

Population: People relying on government services and programs

Estimated Size: 333000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

School Teacher (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that the budget caps might reduce funding for educational initiatives.
  • Education often faces cuts first, which could affect my job and children's learning experiences.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 9

Software Developer (Austin, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The changes might not impact me directly as I work in the private sector.
  • However, any deep economic impacts on the consumer base could eventually affect business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 10 10

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on Medicare and it's worrying to think my benefits could be affected by budget caps.
  • Healthcare cost stability is crucial for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 9

Non-Profit Administrator (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Federal grants are vital for our community programs.
  • Any decrease in budget could mean scaling back services or losing jobs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Business Owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry budget caps could slow down state projects my business depends on.
  • Stable federal funding is crucial for my business plans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Veteran (Cleveland, OH)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There are concerns that caps may reduce veteran assistance programs.
  • These benefits are significant for my wellness and acting life.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Graduate Student (Denver, CO)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the impact of spending caps on student loans and education funding.
  • If loans become less available or more expensive, I might need to reconsider my education plans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Healthcare Worker (Seattle, WA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Caps could mean our clinic faces funding issues, decreasing healthcare access for underserved populations.
  • Patient care quality is at stake.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Construction Worker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Budget constraints might result in fewer infrastructure projects.
  • This directly affects my job security and community growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Small Business Owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fear reduced government spending power could decrease my contract opportunities and consumer purchase power.
  • Maintaining steady government business is essential for my operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $12000000)

Year 3: $6000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $10000000)

Year 5: $4000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $8000000)

Year 10: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $5000000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Key Considerations