Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7415

Bill Overview

Title: Safe Students Act

Description: This bill repeals provisions of federal criminal law that prohibit the possession or discharge of a firearm in a school zone.

Sponsors: Rep. Massie, Thomas [R-KY-4]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in the educational sector (students, teachers, school staff, and parents)

Estimated Size: 200000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High School Principal (Boston, MA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am deeply concerned about the safety implications of this policy change.
  • Allowing firearms in school zones makes me worry for my students and staff.
  • Even if well-intentioned, the presence of more guns could lead to tragic accidents.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 3 6

Parent (Dallas, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a parent, my foremost concern is the safety of my children during school hours.
  • This policy feels like a step backward in ensuring a safe learning environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 4 7

College Student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 20 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about how this might affect my future workplace safety.
  • It's hard enough to focus on teaching without worrying about firearms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • In my opinion, local communities should decide what's right for their schools.
  • There may be contexts where more protection is warranted, but I'm apprehensive about generalizing this.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this move might undermine trust within the school environment.
  • Removing these restrictions could signify a disregard for the safety of both students and staff.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 3 5

Gun Rights Advocate (Rural Kentucky)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fully support the right to carry firearms anywhere, including school zones.
  • This policy is a good first step in restoring those rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

School Security Officer (New York, NY)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This change complicates my job significantly.
  • It's hard to imagine how this could lead to a safer environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 2 5

Retired Police Officer (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think more weapons lead to more mistakes and potential harm.
  • Strategies focusing on prevention and mental health should be priorities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

College Student (Orlando, FL)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My peers are mostly against this change, valuing our safety over gun rights in school zones.
  • It's become a rallying point for further activism in our community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Non-profit Worker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We're worried this makes our job harder, working against the trend of reducing gun presence in sensitive areas.
  • Education and advocacy might need to double to maintain a sense of safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $0)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $0)

Key Considerations