Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7397

Bill Overview

Title: To restart oil and gas leasing and permitting on Federal land, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill requires the President to immediately resume issuing oil and gas leases on federal lands and offshore submerged lands in the Outer Continental Shelf as specified under the bill. In addition, the bill prohibits the President from delaying such leases, including delaying related permits, approvals, or authorizations.

Sponsors: Rep. Burgess, Michael C. [R-TX-26]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals whose wellbeing is impacted by US oil and gas leasing and permitting on federal lands

Estimated Size: 4000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Petroleum Engineer (Houston, Texas)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a step in the right direction for our energy independence.
  • The increase in leasing can lead to job security in the industry.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 4

Ranch owner (Casper, Wyoming)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the effects on the land and water from increased drilling.
  • There are potential benefits to the local economy if managed well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Wildlife Biologist (Anchorage, Alaska)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased activities could severely impact wildlife habitats.
  • Environmental balance should be prioritized over energy interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 2 5

Environmental Lawyer (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy increases risks to ecosystems and climate.
  • We need more sustainable solutions and policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 2 5

Retired Oil Worker (Bismarck, North Dakota)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could bring back opportunities for the younger generation.
  • However, I've seen the boom-bust cycle and its impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Software Developer (Austin, Texas)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may not affect me directly but I care about its environmental impact.
  • Energy policies should focus more on renewables.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Financial Analyst (New York, New York)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could present new investment opportunities.
  • I'm neutral on the environmental impacts due to my distance from them.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 4

Artisan (Santa Fe, New Mexico)

Age: 58 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Cultural and environmental integrity should be prioritized.
  • There's concern about the intrusiveness of expanded oil and gas operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 2 4
Year 10 2 4
Year 20 2 4

Energy Consultant (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see increased work due to policy changes.
  • The environmental impact will need careful management.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Public Health Researcher (Little Rock, Arkansas)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Environmental policies significantly affect public health outcomes.
  • The focus should be on minimizing health impacts from fossil fuels.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 3: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 5: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 10: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 100: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Key Considerations