Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7359

Bill Overview

Title: Stop Fentanyl Border Crossings Act

Description: This bill authorizes the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to restrict migration and imports from foreign countries to prevent the introduction of illicit drugs into the United States. Current law authorizes HHS to restrict migration and imports from foreign countries to prevent the introduction of communicable diseases. Under this bill, HHS may also restrict migration and imports from a country if HHS determines that the existence of substantial illicit drug smuggling from that country poses a risk to public health.

Sponsors: Rep. DesJarlais, Scott [R-TN-4]

Target Audience

Population: People susceptible to fentanyl exposure or misuse

Estimated Size: 2000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Factory Worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 36 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems like a step in the right direction.
  • I hope this reduces the amount of drugs on the street and helps people like me stay clean.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 5

Nurse (Boston, MA)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reducing availability of fentanyl could save numerous lives.
  • Concerned about potential racial profiling at borders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

College Student (San Diego, CA)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's vital to cut down drug access, especially close to borders.
  • The bill might push smuggling to more dangerous underground methods, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Small Business Owner (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Pharmaceutical market might be affected in supply terms.
  • Supportive of measures that reduce illicit drug impact on local communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Unemployed (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry this will lead to harsher treatment without actual help.
  • Less fentanyl might mean less temptation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 3

Retired Teacher (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support any policy that might keep our streets safer and cleaner.
  • The long-term societal benefits could be enormous.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Paramedic (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can help prevent the tragedies I see every day.
  • I'm concerned about its implementation without holistic support for addicts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Social Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a critical step but should be coupled with support systems.
  • Fentanyl availability reduction could save many family structures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Waiter (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 21 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope for fewer temptations and safer communities.
  • My concern is about whether it will drive prices up, affecting usage patterns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Warehouse Manager (Seattle, WA)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Interesting how it could shift trade routes but cautiously optimistic about its benefits.
  • May affect international relations in trade and border agreements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $240000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $240000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 3: $240000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 5: $240000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 10: $240000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 100: $240000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Key Considerations