Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7356

Bill Overview

Title: TPS Reform Act of 2022

Description: This bill changes the procedures for designating a country with temporary protected status (TPS). (Qualified nationals of a TPS-designated country shall have work authorization and may not be removed from the United States while the status is in effect.) Specifically, the bill requires an act of Congress to designate a TPS country, whereas currently the Department of Homeland Security has such authority. The initial act of designating a TPS country must include a time period for the designation of up to 18 months and also contain certain information, including an estimate of the number of individuals who would benefit from the status. Congress may also pass an act to terminate or extend a designation. The bill also establishes that an alien who lacks lawful immigration status may not receive the benefits of temporary protected status.

Sponsors: Rep. Brooks, Mo [R-AL-5]

Target Audience

Population: Nationals from TPS-designated countries

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Restaurant Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that Congress might not act quickly enough to renew or extend TPS for El Salvador.
  • Losing TPS would mean losing my job and the ability to support my family here and back home.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 8

Immigration Lawyer (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Shifting TPS designation to Congress will politicize humanitarian protection.
  • It's likely to lead to fewer countries being designated for TPS, impacting many clients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Small Business Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If my employees lose TPS, I'll need to find new staff, which is challenging in this market.
  • I hope Congress understands the economic impact on businesses like mine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Software Engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not directly affected, but I think the policy will make a tough process even harder for those needing TPS.
  • I worry about the increased politicization of immigration policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Graduate Student (New York, NY)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could severely limit the U.S.'s ability to respond to humanitarian crises quickly.
  • I'm concerned for the individuals who have built lives here under TPS.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Construction Worker (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 34 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With Congress now deciding on TPS, I'm scared my newly gained stability is at risk.
  • I hoped TPS would eventually lead to a more permanent status.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 5
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 8

Retired Policeman (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 61 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the TPS holders as valuable members of our community.
  • Policies that threaten their contributions concern me for community safety and cohesion.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Public School Teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like these complicate the futures of many students whose families rely on TPS.
  • Education quality and student stability might suffer if families are affected by TPS changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Tech Startup Founder (Austin, TX)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having a stable immigration policy is crucial for our hiring plans.
  • This policy change adds uncertainty and could deter talent.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Healthcare Worker (Boston, MA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Friends of mine with TPS are anxious about their futures.
  • It's tougher to work effectively when patients and co-workers are stressed by these policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $30000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $50000000)

Year 2: $30000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $50000000)

Year 3: $32000000 (Low: $21000000, High: $53000000)

Year 5: $34000000 (Low: $23000000, High: $56000000)

Year 10: $37000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $61000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $80000000)

Key Considerations