Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7350

Bill Overview

Title: To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to exempt certain late unemployment payments from taxation.

Description: This bill excludes from the gross income of a taxpayer up to $10,200 in unemployment compensation issued to the taxpayer for calendar year 2020, but not received until 2021. This exclusion applies to taxable years beginning after December 31, 2020.

Sponsors: Rep. Thompson, Mike [D-CA-5]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals who received unemployment compensation for 2020 in 2021

Estimated Size: 4000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm grateful for any assistance that eases the financial burden from the pandemic.
  • This policy feels a bit late since I've already adjusted my finances and paid taxes based on 2020 income.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Manufacturing Worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy helps, but I wish it came sooner.
  • I've struggled to find consistent work since losing my job.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Freelance Artist (Austin, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having less tax means I can save a bit more for emergencies.
  • The financial relief comes too late to fix the hardest time I went through.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Restaurant Manager (Miami, FL)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a relief to know that not all the unemployment money will be taxed.
  • I had to make tough choices during the pandemic, and every little helps.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Retail Worker (New York, NY)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a welcome policy change, but much delayed.
  • I've been under severe stress due to late payments and ensuing debts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 4 3
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 4 3

Event Planner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad this policy acknowledges the delays we faced in receiving our benefits.
  • Any tax relief is beneficial, though it won't completely solve my financial issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Graphic Designer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The extra tax relief ensures I have more breathing room financially.
  • It's a positive step, though it’s a bit late when considering my past struggles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Construction Worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The tax reduction is appreciated, especially given the slow return to normalcy.
  • It's better late than never, but it doesn’t change my current struggles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Musician (Nashville, TN)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The tax break will allow me to invest more in getting back on my feet.
  • This policy is a good measure, albeit coming quite late.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Accountant (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 44 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a helpful policy for people like me who were affected by reduced work hours.
  • I'm glad there's some acknowledgment of the payment delays we faced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $6120000000 (Low: $5500000000, High: $6800000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations