Bill Overview
Title: To provide for congressional oversight of certain sanctions imposed with respect to the Russian Federation.
Description: This bill requires the President to determine, within 60 days of receiving a request from Congress, whether a person (individual or entity) described in the request meets the criteria to be subject to sanctions imposed in two specified executive orders relating to Russia. The executive orders, dated April 19, 2021, and August 24, 2021, impose sanctions for certain activities including (1) efforts by Russia's government to undermine U.S. elections and democratic institutions, and (2) the construction of specified Russian energy pipelines. The determination must also state whether the President has imposed or intends to impose sanctions on any person described in such a request from Congress.
Sponsors: Rep. Meuser, Daniel [R-PA-9]
Target Audience
Population: Individuals and entities involved with activities leading to U.S. sanctions on Russia.
Estimated Size: 500
- The bill targets individuals or entities connected to activities undermining U.S. elections and democratic institutions or involved in Russian energy pipeline construction.
- This includes individuals or entities within Russia and possibly in allied nations engaged in these activities.
- U.S. individuals or entities that may have business dealings with or are otherwise connected to these sanctioned persons or entities may also be indirectly impacted.
Reasoning
- The target population mainly includes individuals and entities within the U.S. who are involved in international business connections with Russia or entities that may be listed for sanctions. Other than that, general public who are US-based and not directly related to these businesses will likely remain unaffected by this policy.
- Most individuals will not notice any direct impact unless they have financial dealings with the specified Russian sectors. The number of people directly impacted is small compared to the U.S. population, but their financial and business wellbeing could see notable shifts.
- Given that budget constraints are relatively limited, the policy impacts are expected to remain targeted and focused rather than broad and widespread.
- The effects on wellbeing are expected to vary significantly depending on the proximity of involvement in the specified activities.
Simulated Interviews
Investment Banker (New York, NY)
Age: 45 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I understand the importance of these sanctions for national security.
- The policy could complicate some of our dealings and may require adjustments.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Oil and Gas Analyst (Houston, TX)
Age: 30 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 2/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Sanctions could hinder some strategic partnerships we've been developing.
- Overall, it might lead to a reassessment of our international strategy.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 8 |
Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 29 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- We're not directly involved with Russia, but the ripple effects could affect global market stability.
- We'll keep monitoring the situation closely.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Retired (Miami, FL)
Age: 55 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 9
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I rely on my investments for stable income, so any international disruption is concerning.
- However, I trust that these measures are in the country's best interest.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Lobbyist (Washington, D.C.)
Age: 38 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy introduces new dynamics in international negotiations.
- It increases my workload but also the complexity of our advocacy efforts.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Energy Sector Executive (Dallas, TX)
Age: 47 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 8.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Although it might hinder some transactions, national security is crucial.
- We'll need to find alternative markets now.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Human Rights Activist (Chicago, IL)
Age: 40 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 1.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- These sanctions bring attention to important issues in the region.
- It might help with our advocacy on political reforms.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 7 |
Graduate Student (Boston, MA)
Age: 24 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- It's an intriguing case study for my research topics.
- I doubt there will be direct personal consequences.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Retired Business Consultant (Seattle, WA)
Age: 63 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 9
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- As long as businesses are well-advised, they can navigate these changes successfully.
- It might mean increased advisory needs temporarily.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Entertainment Industry Executive (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 52 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 1.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Unlikely to see significant impacts, but it's important for global industry relations.
- We'll adapt and plan for any potential unseen repercussions.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 8 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)
Year 2: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)
Year 3: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)
Year 5: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)
Year 10: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)
Year 100: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)
Key Considerations
- The scope of entities and individuals that could be affected is primarily foreign, but indirect effects on American businesses involved with Russian partners could occur.
- The policy requires fast-tracking administrative processes which may require enhancing current government capacity or systems.