Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7330

Bill Overview

Title: Keeping Israel Safe from Iranian Proxies Act

Description: This bill prohibits the Department of Defense from making federal funds available to specified entities that are backed by Iran.

Sponsors: Rep. Jackson, Ronny [R-TX-13]

Target Audience

Population: People in Israel

Estimated Size: 5000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Department of Defense Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support measures that enhance security and reduce threats from Iranian-backed entities.
  • There may be challenges reallocating funds within our usual structures, which could affect my workload.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Defense Contractor (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned about potential contract adjustments due to reallocated funds.
  • Security threats need to be managed, but the funding impacts on business are worrisome.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Policy Researcher (New York, NY)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's essential to limit threats, but the specifics of implementation will be critical.
  • I will have more material to analyze for my work, which is valuable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Retired Military Officer (Houston, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring peace by limiting funding to enemy entities is always a good move.
  • As a retiree, budget shifts don’t directly affect me anymore, but I get concerned about national security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Tech Industry Employee (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m worried about how my company’s plans might shift with the Department of Defense budget changes.
  • If contracts change drastically, it could affect job stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Graduate Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy adds an interesting dimension to my research in Middle Eastern geopolitics.
  • I await to see how it impacts actual geopolitical dynamics beyond the financial aspects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Academic - Political Science (Boston, MA)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It reflects the US's evolving security posture, which is vital for course content.
  • I foresee more research opportunities and student engagement around such policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Foreign Policy Advisor (Miami, FL)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's positive for regional stability, but potential drawbacks could impact security funding elsewhere.
  • I’ll be actively involved in discussions and strategic decisions due to this policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Small Business Owner (Austin, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the intent is to reduce risk, but uncertain economic ripples worry me.
  • No direct impact expected unless supply chains restructure.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Software Engineer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Shift in funding could lead to new project opportunities, but also instability in current roles.
  • I have to stay adaptable as the policy unfolds.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $15000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations