Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7325

Bill Overview

Title: Countering Chinese Espionage Reporting Act

Description: This bill directs the Department of Justice (DOJ) to annually report to Congress and make publicly available a report related to Chinese national security threats. In particular, this report must include (1) a description of DOJ activities and operations related to countering Chinese national security threats and espionage in the United States, and (2) an accounting of DOJ resources that are dedicated to programs aimed at combating national security threats posed by the Chinese Communist Party.

Sponsors: Rep. Fitzgerald, Scott [R-WI-5]

Target Audience

Population: Chinese individuals involved in espionage and their affiliates

Estimated Size: 1500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think transparency is crucial when dealing with national security issues, but I hope this doesn't lead to unnecessary scrutiny of all things Chinese.
  • I worry how this might affect our business relations with our stakeholders abroad.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Graduate Student (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The Act feels like it might create additional hurdles for my research partnerships.
  • I'm concerned about being unfairly targeted just because I work with Chinese researchers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

National Security Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Publicly sharing national security work helps citizens understand the challenges we face.
  • The policy should enable us to direct resources more effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 9

Civil Rights Activist (Austin, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that this could contribute to racial profiling against Asian-Americans.
  • It's important that the policy is transparent to avoid reinforcing stereotypes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 7

Film Producer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this policy as a potential hindrance to international creative collaborations.
  • Hopefully, it won't discourage Chinese partners from investing in our projects due to fear of increased surveillance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

College Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that this policy could distort how we see China and affect our studies abroad.
  • It's critical we maintain academic integrity and not succumb to baseless suspicion.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Chef (Seattle, WA)

Age: 48 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not sure how this impacts me directly, but I hope it doesn't lead to unwarranted suspicion of everything Chinese.
  • As long as my business isn't affected, I'm fine with it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cybersecurity Expert (Chicago, IL)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any measures that enhance our capability to counter espionage are welcome.
  • The policy should help prioritize funding where it is needed for national defense.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Research Scientist (Houston, TX)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm apprehensive that this could lead to increased scrutiny and possibly hinder our collaborations.
  • I hope transparency will lead to a clear understanding rather than assumptions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm supportive of measures that ensure our country's safety, but we need to make sure we're not discriminating against anyone.
  • Understanding our security needs can help keep us informed citizens.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $10500000 (Low: $7350000, High: $15750000)

Year 3: $11025000 (Low: $7717500, High: $16537500)

Year 5: $12155000 (Low: $8508500, High: $18232500)

Year 10: $14956900 (Low: $10469830, High: $22435350)

Year 100: $406865246 (Low: $285775672, High: $610297869)

Key Considerations