Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7306

Bill Overview

Title: Strategy to Secure Offshore Energy Act

Description: This bill modifies requirements for the National Outer Continental Shelf Oil and Gas Leasing Program, including by specifying that the program must be updated on a five-year basis and setting a minimum number of annual lease sales for the program.

Sponsors: Rep. Van Duyne, Beth [R-TX-24]

Target Audience

Population: Consumers and populations globally reliant on oil and gas

Estimated Size: 100000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Offshore Drilling Technician (Houston, Texas)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is likely to secure more jobs for individuals like me and ensure job security over the next few years.
  • New offshore leases will mean more projects and potentially higher wages.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Environmental Scientist (Baton Rouge, Louisiana)

Age: 43 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the potential negative environmental impact this policy may have on marine life and coastal environments.
  • Increased drilling could lead to more spills and ecological harm, which is devastating for local wildlife.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 3 7

Software Developer (San Francisco, California)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't feel this policy will directly impact my life immediately, but I worry about the long-term environmental risks it imposes.
  • It reinforces dependence on fossil fuels at a time when we should be focusing on renewable energy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Local Business Owner (Tourism) (New Orleans, Louisiana)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More offshore drilling could potentially hurt my business if it leads to oil spills or deters tourists.
  • However, increased economic activity could also bring more visitors to the area.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 4 8

Retired Marine Engineer (Biloxi, Mississippi)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could provide future job security for young engineers entering the field.
  • I'm concerned about the balance needed between jobs and environmental protection.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

High School Science Teacher (Miami, Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy doesn't affect me personally, but I'm worried about its impact on marine education and conservation efforts.
  • More drilling could hurt the natural resources our students learn about and enjoy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 4 7

Energy Policy Consultant (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 44 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • From a policy standpoint, this bill could shift the investment focus back to fossil fuels, which contradicts our climate goals.
  • There may be a short-term job boost, but we risk long-term sustainability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

University Student (Anchorage, Alaska)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that more drilling could harm delicate Arctic environments and endanger wildlife.
  • Policy like this doesn't align with what I envision for the future of energy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 4 8

Public Health Researcher (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased offshore drilling could potentially lead to greater pollution, which directly impacts public health.
  • I'm concerned about the broader implications for air and water quality.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 4 8
Year 20 3 8

Energy Market Analyst (New York, New York)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could stabilize energy prices in the short term by increasing supply, which is beneficial economically.
  • However, there's a risk of over-reliance on non-renewable sources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Year 3: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Year 5: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Year 10: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Year 100: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Key Considerations