Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7300

Bill Overview

Title: Dark Web Interdiction Act of 2022

Description: This bill establishes enhanced criminal penalties for distributing controlled substances via the dark web. It also establishes other programs and requirements to address the use of the dark web for illicit drug activities. ( Dark web means the portions of the internet with hidden sites and services that (1) are not generally searchable, and (2) can only be accessed with specialized devices or services that conceal the identities and locations of users.) Specifically, the bill provides an enhanced criminal penalty for delivering, distributing, or dispensing controlled substances via the dark web. The bill also provides statutory authority for the Joint Criminal Opioid and Darknet Enforcement Task Force, which supports the investigation and prosecution of drug offenses committed via the dark web domestically and internationally. In addition, the Department of Justice must report on how and to what extent virtual currencies are used for opioid distribution via the dark web.

Sponsors: Rep. Pappas, Chris [D-NH-1]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in buying or selling controlled substances via the dark web

Estimated Size: 750000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Dark web drug seller (New York, NY)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I make most of my money selling online, but I know I'm taking some risks.
  • The increased penalties are concerning. If caught, my life could be over.
  • It's concerning to think about not being able to support myself.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 2 6
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 2 5

Rehabilitated opioid addict (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see hope in reducing access to drugs, as it could prevent relapses.
  • Penalties seem encouraging but aren't always the full solution to addiction.
  • There are many reasons people use and I'm glad I'm recovering.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

FBI Cyber Crime Unit (Miami, FL)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The dark web presents a significant challenge, and this task force will strengthen our efforts.
  • We've seen success in past operations; these new resources can amplify that.
  • Reducing drug trade impacts communities positively in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Software engineer (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These regulations might affect some software projects negatively.
  • There needs to be a balance between privacy and illegal activity regulation.
  • Concerned about the chilling effect on legitimate privacy software.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Mother of recovering addict (Chicago, IL)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The fewer drugs available, the better for all families like ours.
  • Increased penalties might deter people from selling drugs online.
  • I worry about resources actually reaching the right places.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

College student (Portland, OR)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It might become harder to get the stuff I use socially.
  • I don't understand a lot of the legal stuff, but it sounds like a pain.
  • Probably, law enforcement could use resources elsewhere.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Cryptocurrency economist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Regulating dark markets could shift economic activities in cryptocurrencies.
  • Interested in seeing how this impacts dark market's transactional volume.
  • Concerns over increasing privacy-infringing regulations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Medicinal chemist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Closing dark web channels might help in controlling opioid epidemics.
  • A focus on supply-side regulation is needed but so is education and treatment.
  • Hopeful but skeptical about long-term effects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Retired teacher (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 66 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If these laws mean fewer drugs in schools, I support them.
  • Youth and education forums must also address these issues.
  • We can't ignore prevention in early spaces like schools.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cybersecurity analyst (Denver, CO)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Tighter regulations will increase demand for security expertise.
  • These policies could lead to innovations in secure communications.
  • Ample opportunities for skill and service expansion if implemented cautiously.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $60000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $62000000 (Low: $52000000, High: $72000000)

Year 3: $64000000 (Low: $54000000, High: $74000000)

Year 5: $67000000 (Low: $57000000, High: $77000000)

Year 10: $74000000 (Low: $64000000, High: $84000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $90000000, High: $110000000)

Key Considerations