Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7292

Bill Overview

Title: Securing American Energy and Investing in Resiliency Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of the Interior to conduct certain sales of oil and gas leases on the Outer Continental Shelf by a specified deadline.

Sponsors: Rep. Graves, Garret [R-LA-6]

Target Audience

Population: People employed in the oil and gas industry and affected communities

Estimated Size: 2000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Oil Rig Engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's crucial for maintaining industry jobs. More leases mean more work for people like me.
  • There are concerns about the environment, but technology is advancing to handle these. The jobs are important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 9 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Marine Biologist (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased drilling could damage marine ecosystems, affecting biodiversity and fisheries.
  • Long-term impact on our waters is worrying, and mitigation measures need to be robust.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 7

Retired Fisherman (Biloxi, MS)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More drilling raises the risk of spills, which can ruin livelihoods in fishing and tourism.
  • We rely on clean waters for survival and the industry might not protect our interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 4 8
Year 10 3 8
Year 20 3 8

Environmental Advocate (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill seems like a step backward for environmental goals and renewable energy.
  • Fossil fuel investments should decline, not increase, given climate change imperatives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 7

Oil Company Executive (Mobile, AL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will likely boost local economies and stabilize jobs in the region.
  • We must ensure environmental safeguards are strictly followed to prevent issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 10 8
Year 2 10 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Tourism Business Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There's always a worry about spills; even a small one could greatly affect tourism.
  • I rely on clean, safe waters for my tours to operate at their best.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 3 8
Year 20 3 9

Energy Market Analyst (Denver, CO)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might stabilize oil prices temporarily but could fluctuate due to global dynamics.
  • Understanding this policy's true impact requires evaluating international market reactions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Coastal Environmental Planner (Galveston, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Finding a balance between development and environmental protection is challenging yet crucial.
  • The policy should include stringent ecological assessments before implementation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 3 8
Year 20 4 8

College Student (Pensacola, FL)

Age: 21 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about how local ecological damage could affect my future career opportunities.
  • Protecting biodiversity is essential as it links to everything we study and depend on.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 8

Petroleum Geologist (Dallas, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • New offshore leases could provide job stability and growth in our sector.
  • Balancing economic gain and environmental costs is always a factor to consider.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations