Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7291

Bill Overview

Title: American Beef Labeling Act of 2022

Description: This bill reinstates mandatory country-of-origin labeling requirements for beef. Specifically, the bill requires the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) to develop a means of reinstating the requirements that complies with the rules of the World Trade Organization. The USTR and the Department of Agriculture must implement the means within one year.

Sponsors: Rep. Gooden, Lance [R-TX-5]

Target Audience

Population: Global beef consumers

Estimated Size: 150000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Rancher (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad to see the focus on American beef.
  • Labeling might help increase demand for local beef, though increased labeling costs are a concern.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Supermarket Manager (California)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We need to adjust our supply chain for traceability.
  • It might create a preference for labeled products, affecting stock.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Tech Entrepreneur (New York)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I prefer knowing where my food comes from, even if I don't buy beef often.
  • It supports transparency but might slightly increase costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Beef Processor (Kansas)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might require more resources to meet labeling regulations.
  • Any changes affecting product flow concern us immediately.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired (Florida)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Knowing the source of beef can help me make healthier choices.
  • It's good for peace of mind, even though I'm mostly retired.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Agricultural Policy Analyst (Iowa)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could lead to stronger preference for domestic beef.
  • Over time, it might spark more detailed disclosures in food labeling.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 8

Environmental Scientist (Oregon)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Labeling may lead to increased awareness about food sources.
  • It encourages sustainable practices potentially benefiting the environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 7

Lobbyist (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Advocating for clear labeling has been critical.
  • This is a step towards consumer rights in the food industry.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Beef Distribution Manager (Nebraska)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We need to adapt logistics to accommodate labeling changes.
  • Long-term, this assures product transparency and may increase trust.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

University Professor (Illinois)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could affect consumer choice behaviors significantly.
  • It provides new data for research on preference shifts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $80000000)

Year 2: $35000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $60000000)

Year 3: $30000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $50000000)

Year 5: $30000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $50000000)

Year 10: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $45000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations