Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7263

Bill Overview

Title: PROTECT Act of 2022

Description: 2022 This bill alters federal sentencing for individuals who commit certain child pornography offenses. It generally requires judges to impose a sentence that is not less than the minimum period specified in the sentencing guideline range. The bill also increases certain criminal penalties for possession of child pornography.

Sponsors: Rep. Buck, Ken [R-CO-4]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in child pornography offenses

Estimated Size: 100000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

retired judge (Florida)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The increased penalties could deter future offenses.
  • Judges need to carefully ensure just sentencing within these new guidelines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

public defender (California)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's crucial to ensure that these penalties aren't excessively punitive.
  • Balancing fair trials remains paramount.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

law professor (New York)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy reflects a strong stance against child exploitation.
  • Significant resources will be required to handle legal complexities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

victim advocate (Ohio)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stronger penalties validate the harm victims endure.
  • This may empower more victims to come forward.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

parent of offender (Texas)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Longer sentences will further strain our family.
  • We need more support for reform and rehabilitation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 3
Year 2 2 3
Year 3 4 3
Year 5 4 3
Year 10 3 3
Year 20 4 3

news journalist (Illinois)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The focus on strengthening laws seems justified.
  • Media will closely monitor prosecutorial outcomes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

unemployed (Nevada)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Registrars are excessively punitive, hindering reintegration.
  • Rehabilitation must be more significant than punishment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 5 5

child psychologist (Georgia)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Toughened penalties are a step toward better protection.
  • Ensuring mental health support is crucial as well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Federal prosecutor (District of Columbia)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will likely increase prosecution success rates.
  • Balancing law and individual rights is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

social worker (Colorado)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy changes might make reintegration challenging.
  • Support systems are vital during and post-incarceration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $35000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $40000000)

Year 2: $37000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $42000000)

Year 3: $38000000 (Low: $33000000, High: $43000000)

Year 5: $40000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $45000000)

Year 10: $42000000 (Low: $36000000, High: $46000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $58000000)

Key Considerations