Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7260

Bill Overview

Title: Comprehensive Southern Border Strategy Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of Homeland Security to report to Congress a comprehensive southern border strategy. The strategy must include (1) an overview of current security risks along the southern border; and (2) an assessment of the barriers, technologies, and tools that are necessary to achieve and maintain situational awareness and operational control of the border.

Sponsors: Rep. Kim, Young [R-CA-39]

Target Audience

Population: Immigrants and potential immigrants affected by U.S. southern border policies

Estimated Size: 2000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border patrol officer (San Diego, California)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems to formalize what we already try to focus on in terms of improving strategic deployment along the border.
  • Additional funding and oversight could help improve the tools and support we have to manage border security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 7 6

Small business owner (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While the policy's focus on security is necessary, it should consider the economic implications for businesses that rely on cross-border trade.
  • I'm concerned about potential decreases in customers if crossing becomes harder.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Immigration lawyer (Houston, Texas)

Age: 44 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There is a need for strategies that balance security with humanitarian concerns.
  • This policy could enhance legal pathways if coupled with comprehensive immigration reform.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Teacher (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Further strategies might increase tensions and fears in immigrant communities.
  • The focus on barriers worries some of my students' families who have been living peacefully for years.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Activist (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The comprehensive strategy could deepen divides unless it includes community and humanitarian aspects.
  • Stronger security measures could discourage asylum seekers who need help the most.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Software Engineer (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems distant to my day-to-day life.
  • I think about national security but don't see a direct impact on me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this brings efficient solutions while respecting human rights.
  • Community safety is important, but so is humane treatment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Nurse (McAllen, Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stricter policies can increase stress on immigrant populations, impacting their health.
  • The healthcare system could see more demand without comprehensive support for immigrants.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

College student (Nogales, Arizona)

Age: 19 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm keen to see how policy changes affect border dynamics.
  • It offers an opportunity to study real-world policy impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Truck driver (Sacramento, California)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While security is important, I need efficiency in operations to ensure timely deliveries.
  • This could impact the economic aspects of my job if not streamlined.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $18000000, High: $22000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations