Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7204

Bill Overview

Title: RATES Act

Description: RATES Act This bill revises the mission and goals of Amtrak. It encourages an economically sustainable intercity and commuter passenger rail system and requires Amtrak to ensure route profitability proportional to the federal share of investment.

Sponsors: Rep. Crawford, Eric A. "Rick" [R-AR-1]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals who utilize Amtrak services

Estimated Size: 3500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

IT Project Manager (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I depend on Amtrak for comfortable and efficient travel to Washington, D.C. Any improvements in service and sustainability are welcome, but not if prices skyrocket.
  • Profitability concerns make me worry about ticket prices increasing. However, if service quality improves, it might be worthwhile.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Freelance Photographer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't use Amtrak regularly, so changes in service probably won't affect me too much.
  • If prices increase, I might just choose to drive or fly when necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Marketing Executive (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Amtrak has been reliable for my business trips. I hope the policy brings better service, but I'm cautious about potential price hikes.
  • The profitability requirement makes me worry about the feasibility of my routine travels.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

College Student (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a student, I'm concerned about ticket prices becoming too expensive. A price increase could limit how often I can see my family.
  • I hope the policy considers affordability for students like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 4

Retired Professor (Boston, MA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Amtrak is a convenient travel option during my retirement. I hope routes remain comprehensive and affordable for continued use.
  • The focus on profitability sounds like it may restrict options for leisurely travel.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

Amtrak Train Conductor (Harrisburg, PA)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about job security if routes in rural areas aren't profitable enough. The policy could affect my employment.
  • I hope management ensures that the workforce isn't negatively impacted by these changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Environmental Advocate (Portland, OR)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that focusing on profitability might reduce service frequency, pushing more people to less sustainable alternatives.
  • However, a financially healthy Amtrak could in the long-run support environmental goals better.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Small Business Owner (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My business is reliant on foot traffic from Amtrak travelers. Reduced services would directly hurt my revenue.
  • I hope profitability doesn't mean cutting off routes that support small communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 8 3

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I take Amtrak for relaxing, scenic journeys. I fear ticket prices could rise and limit my travel options in retirement.
  • I hope the changes focus on maintaining accessibility for leisure travelers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Software Developer (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I currently don't use Amtrak much, but improved service could make it an option for regional travel.
  • Sustainable and economical improvements might encourage occasional travel for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)

Year 2: $480000000 (Low: $430000000, High: $530000000)

Year 3: $460000000 (Low: $410000000, High: $510000000)

Year 5: $400000000 (Low: $350000000, High: $450000000)

Year 10: $300000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $350000000)

Year 100: $200000000 (Low: $0, High: $300000000)

Key Considerations