Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7190

Bill Overview

Title: Federal Gift Shop Tax Act

Description: This bill authorizes a state (i.e., each state of the United States, the District of Columbia, and U.S. territories and possessions) to levy a sales tax on any purchase made in a gift shop located on federal property or made online through a gift shop.

Sponsors: Del. Norton, Eleanor Holmes [D-DC-At Large]

Target Audience

Population: People who make purchases in gift shops on federal property or online through these shops

Estimated Size: 7000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

National Parks Guide (Colorado)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy might discourage some visitors from making purchases, which could lead to less funding for park services if gift shop sales decline.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Military Officer (Virginia)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think the tax will affect me much since I only occasionally make gift shop purchases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Travel Blogger (California)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The added tax might be bothersome for the audience I cater to, though it’s a small part of the travel experience.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 10
Year 20 9 10

Museum Enthusiast (New York)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could significantly affect my spending habit, considering my frequent purchases. It lessens my disposable income for such collectibles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 9

School Teacher (Texas)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • For school trips, the tax might mean we budget differently for educational souvenirs. It’s a necessary cost adjustment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 8

Retiree (Florida)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.5 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As long as the tax is not exorbitant, I don’t mind. It’s for a good cause if it helps maintain the parks.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

College Student (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.5 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The tax might deter me from my weekly splurges, which may be a good thing financially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Stay-at-home Parent (Illinois)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.5 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Costs have risen everywhere; this tax is just another small increase to adjust for.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Tour Guide (Arizona)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might slightly affect sales, which could impact us as employees, but the overall effect seems moderate.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Environmental Lawyer (Oregon)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If this tax contributes to park preservation, I'm in favor. The impact on individual purchases seems negligible for the greater good.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $5200000 (Low: $4200000, High: $6200000)

Year 3: $5400000 (Low: $4400000, High: $6400000)

Year 5: $5800000 (Low: $4800000, High: $6800000)

Year 10: $6600000 (Low: $5600000, High: $7600000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Key Considerations