Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7104

Bill Overview

Title: FABS Act

Description: This bill allows a new tax credit through 2032 for investment in any semiconductor manufacturing facility and for semiconductor design expenditures.

Sponsors: Rep. McCaul, Michael T. [R-TX-10]

Target Audience

Population: People impacted by advancements and production in the semiconductor industry

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a great move. It could enhance job security and ensure a steady supply chain for tech industries.
  • I am hopeful that domestic production will lead to more innovation and better work opportunities for me and my peers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 10 7
Year 10 10 6
Year 20 10 6

Automotive Engineer (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The tax incentive is excellent news for the automotive sector which increasingly relies on semiconductors.
  • I'm optimistic it will secure supply chains and possibly lower costs in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Economist (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the policy as a strategic economic move that could significantly impact US GDP.
  • However, I am cautious; the actual execution and uptake by tech companies will determine its success.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Factory Worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 51 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the policy brings more jobs and keeps our factory competitive.
  • It could mean better job security for workers like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 8 3

Graduate Student (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could boost job prospects for new graduates entering the semiconductor field.
  • Investment in this area aligns with my career goals and future aspirations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Tech Startup Entrepreneur (Chicago, IL)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might lower costs for semiconductor-based products, boosting my startup's potential.
  • However, actual benefits depend on how much the market actually expands domestically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired Electrical Engineer (Pittsburgh, PA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's good to reinvest in the semiconductor industry.
  • Back in my day, we were on the forefront but have slowly lagged behind.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 3

High School Teacher (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 49 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any policy that stimulates the economy and provides more job opportunities is generally good.
  • I'm interested in seeing if this leads to more STEM education focus and resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Small Business Owner (Reno, NV)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If local production drives down costs, it could really help my business.
  • I'm cautiously optimistic that this will trickle down to small-scale enterprises.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Data Analyst (Newark, NJ)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could enhance tech data flows, crucial for my job and industry.
  • Increased stability in semiconductor supply can significantly impact our operational strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $350000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $400000000)

Year 2: $400000000 (Low: $350000000, High: $450000000)

Year 3: $450000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $500000000)

Year 5: $550000000 (Low: $500000000, High: $600000000)

Year 10: $900000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1000000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations