Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7083

Bill Overview

Title: Make Russia Pay Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of the Treasury to liquidate all Russian assets seized by the United States and deposit the resulting funds into a Ukrainian Humanitarian Aid Fund established by the bill. Treasury may use the funds to provide assistance to Ukraine, including by providing funding to Ukraine's government for humanitarian and security assistance.

Sponsors: Rep. Bice, Stephanie I. [R-OK-5]

Target Audience

Population: Ukrainian population affected by humanitarian and security issues

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

International Relations Professor (New York, NY)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supporting Ukraine aligns with democratic values.
  • The bill's direct impact on Americans is limited, but geopolitical stability indirectly affects everyone.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Business Owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might improve Ukraine's situation, but I'm unsure about the longer economic impact.
  • As a business owner, global stability is vital for supply chains.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Aid Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support the redistribution of wealth to aid beleaguered populations.
  • Wish the policy could also accommodate other humanitarian needs globally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired Military Officer (Dallas, TX)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Investing in Ukraine is crucial for European security.
  • Continued support may prevent larger conflicts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Tax Consultant (Miami, FL)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This adds understanding complexity to international finance and taxation laws.
  • Clients may question international asset policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Software Developer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Happy to see reallocated funds serving people in need.
  • Wonders if similar strategies might be applied to cybersecurity threats.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retiree (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supportive of using assets for humanitarian aid, reflects moral duty.
  • Would prefer expanded domestic social services too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Financial Analyst (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a justified approach leveraging seized assets.
  • Curious about long-term financial impacts on US economy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 7

Teacher (Houston, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It provides a practical example of historic sanctions.
  • Hopes it educates students on humanitarian responsibilities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Farmer (Denver, CO)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While primarily focused on local issues, supporting Ukraine is a noble cause.
  • America's broader role often impacts trade indirectly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations