Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7080

Bill Overview

Title: Nowhere to Hide Oligarchs’ Assets Act

Description: This bill expands the scope of the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network's (FinCEN's) authority to obtain records related to financial crimes. Specifically, FinCEN may request a nationwide geographic targeting order requiring additional recordkeeping and reporting requirements applicable to domestic financial institutions or nonfinancial trades or businesses. Under current law, such an order must be limited to a specific geographic area. Additionally, the bill expands existing recordkeeping and reporting requirements applicable to U.S. residents, citizens, and entities when transacting with a foreign financial agency to also include transactions with a foreign nonfinancial trade or business.

Sponsors: Rep. Waters, Maxine [D-CA-43]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in cross-border financial transactions

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for increased scrutiny in financial transactions to avoid illegal activities.
  • The policy might increase the workload for my firm, affecting our efficiency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could add more paperwork for small business owners like me.
  • I worry about increased operational costs due to more reporting requirements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Banker (Miami, FL)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased reporting requirements might strain our resources.
  • However, it's necessary to prevent illicit financial activities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Real Estate Investor (Chicago, IL)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned about privacy and the increased scrutiny on my transactions.
  • Despite being compliant, this feels intrusive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 9
Year 2 6 9
Year 3 6 9
Year 5 6 9
Year 10 5 9
Year 20 5 9

Freelancer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a freelancer with foreign clients, I'm worried about more tax paperwork.
  • I wish there were resources to assist small earners like us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Oil and Gas Consultant (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might malign the confidentiality agreements we maintain.
  • Increased auditing may hamper business negotiations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

University Professor (Boston, MA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy sounds beneficial in curbing corruption but increases paperwork.
  • I hope the system compensates for the extra administrative work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Casino Manager (Las Vegas, NV)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may make our compliance more visible and adds operational costs.
  • It's a double-edged sword with potential benefits and drawbacks for us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Cryptocurrency Trader (Austin, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy threatens the privacy aspect of digital trading significantly.
  • The increased reporting might scare off international clients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 3 6

NGO Worker (Denver, CO)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may redirect important resources towards compliance rather than aid.
  • Stricter regulations could delay necessary funding channels.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $700000000)

Year 2: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $700000000)

Year 3: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $700000000)

Year 5: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $700000000)

Year 10: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $700000000)

Year 100: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $700000000)

Key Considerations