Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7067

Bill Overview

Title: Closing Loopholes in Russia Sanctions Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires and authorizes various actions relating to digital assets, such as cryptocurrencies, and sanctions relating to Russia. Specifically, the bill (1) authorizes the President to impose sanctions on a foreign person (i.e., individual or entity) in the digital asset industry that facilitates transactions involving persons subject to U.S. sanctions relating to Russia; (2) prohibits digital asset exchanges from transacting with digital asset wallets or cryptocurrency addresses that are known to be, or could reasonably be known to be, affiliated with persons headquartered in Russia; and (3) requires U.S. taxpayers holding a certain amount of cryptocurrency in non-U.S. accounts to report such holdings to the Internal Revenue Service.

Sponsors: Rep. Sherman, Brad [D-CA-30]

Target Audience

Population: People in the digital asset industry transacting or potentially transacting with Russia

Estimated Size: 750000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy will bring more oversight which is probably good for the security of cryptocurrency as a whole.
  • I'm a bit worried about needing to report my foreign cryptocurrency holdings to the IRS—it adds complexity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cryptocurrency Trader (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This seems like it will complicate my trading activity, especially with respect to the platforms I can use.
  • I understand the need for regulation, but it might make things more difficult for day-to-day operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 8
Year 2 5 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy doesn't impact me directly since I only use US exchanges.
  • However, it might affect the market prices due to changes in global regulations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Small Business Owner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm really worried about the paperwork and compliance with IRS rulings.
  • might consider revising my transactions to ensure I don't get hit with penalties.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for regulation but worry this is just the start of tighter restrictions.
  • Any new reporting requirements will be a hassle for someone like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Start-up Founder (Boston, MA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It could complicate my business transactions if our client exchanges are affected.
  • But I see the benefit in deterring illicit actors in the space.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Accountant (Chicago, IL)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think these reforms are helpful for transparency and can reduce some of the 'wild west' aspects of digital assets.
  • Our clients will need advice to stay compliant, which can be a good business opportunity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Freelancer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm nervous about how this might increase my admin load.
  • However, transparency is crucial if cryptocurrency is going to be taken seriously.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Financial Advisor (Portland, OR)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There are promising aspects to this policy in terms of protecting clients from potentially risky transactions.
  • As regulations solidify, it will become easier to provide investment guidance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired Government Employee (Denver, CO)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not directly affected, though regulations like these seem inevitable.
  • Hopefully, they will make digital currencies safer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 2: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 3: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations