Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7042

Bill Overview

Title: SAFE SEAS Act of 2022

Description: This bill establishes grants for states to assist lobster and Jonah crab harvesters with the costs of gear modifications in accordance with the Atlantic Large Whale Take Reduction Plan.

Sponsors: Rep. Pappas, Chris [D-NH-1]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in the Atlantic lobster and Jonah crab fisheries

Estimated Size: 20000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Lobster Harvester (Maine)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new regulations make sense to protect marine life, but they put a financial strain on our operations.
  • The grants are a relief and mean I won't have to take out a loan to cover the costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Jonah Crab Harvester (Massachusetts)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe in sustainability, but the initial investment for compliance is tough.
  • The grants make the transition manageable without hurting my savings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Lobster Supply Chain Worker (New Jersey)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act doesn't impact me directly, but a healthier industry could mean better job stability.
  • I'm indirectly concerned about the implications for my job security if fishermen can't handle the costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Fishing Gear Supplier (Maine)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can boost my business as demand for compliant gear increases.
  • I'm hopeful it will provide more opportunities for local businesses like mine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Marine Biologist (Connecticut)

Age: 42 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a positive step for marine conservation, aligning economic incentives with environmental goals.
  • Good to see policy action supporting both ecosystems and livelihoods.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Lobster Harvester (Rhode Island)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the costs were left to us, it would be unsustainable in the long run.
  • I'm glad there's acknowledgment of our struggles at the federal level.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Environmental Activist (New York)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act is a significant win for ocean life protection.
  • It encourages innovation in fishing practices, which is necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired Lobster Harvester (Florida)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am glad to see financial aid for my peers that wasn't available during my time.
  • It's a progressive move for the new generation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Graduate Student (Maine)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns my academic interests with practical outcomes.
  • It's encouraging to see policy support for topics I'm passionate about.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Finance Officer at a Community Bank (Massachusetts)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I foresee more businesses seeking gear-related loans if the grants are insufficient.
  • We aim to support local fishers through this transition, possibly expecting more business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $75000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $90000000)

Year 2: $75000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $90000000)

Year 3: $75000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $90000000)

Year 5: $75000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $90000000)

Year 10: $75000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $90000000)

Year 100: $75000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $90000000)

Key Considerations