Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7024

Bill Overview

Title: Every Town A Border Town Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of State to designate Mara Salvatrucha (MS-13) and any successor organization as a foreign terrorist organization. Among other things, the designation allows the Department of the Treasury to require financial institutions to block transactions involving the organization. Additionally, an alien who is a member, officer, official, representative, or spokesman of MS-13 is considered to have engaged in terrorist activity and is inadmissible for entry into the United States.

Sponsors: Rep. Good, Bob [R-VA-5]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals related to or impacted by Mara Salvatrucha (MS-13)

Estimated Size: 100000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone from a region impacted by MS-13, I think this policy could reduce some crimes in my neighborhood.
  • My family worries about being stereotypically associated, but safety improvements could be worth it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

small business owner (New York, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might help curb the extortion issues I hear about, which could improve my business environment.
  • I'm worried about increased scrutiny from the government on transactions that could affect my business unnecessarily.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

law enforcement officer (Houston, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems necessary to cut off resources for MS-13 and thereby limit their influence.
  • Still, it'll be a challenge to ensure resources go towards tangible safety improvements rather than just bureaucratic measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

policy analyst (Washington, DC)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Designation of MS-13 as a foreign terrorist organization is long overdue and could align international efforts.
  • There's a risk this could overreach into affecting innocent individuals through association.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

retired (Chicago, IL)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've seen MS-13's negative influence firsthand; reducing their resources could make a big difference.
  • However, I'm skeptical about how effective financial designations can be on their own.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

restaurant worker (Miami, FL)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy works so that young people don't have to worry as much about gang violence.
  • The community could flourish if MS-13's presence is diminished.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 5

bank manager (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy strengthens compliance but could trouble regular bank operations if not handled well.
  • Financial regulations are always a double-edged sword in implementation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

social worker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could provide relief and security to families living in fear of gang retaliation.
  • Resources must also focus on healing and rebuilding affected communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

high school teacher (El Paso, TX)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might reduce gang influence in schools and improve safety for staff and students.
  • However, without broader community support, it might only shift problems elsewhere.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 8 5

construction worker (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My life's been shaped by escaping MS-13. Cutting their resources makes the US safer for people like me.
  • I'm worried about potential repercussions on my ability to send money home.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 2: $1450000000 (Low: $1150000000, High: $1750000000)

Year 3: $1400000000 (Low: $1100000000, High: $1700000000)

Year 5: $1350000000 (Low: $1050000000, High: $1650000000)

Year 10: $1300000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $1600000000)

Year 100: $1300000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $1600000000)

Key Considerations