Bill Overview
Title: Ukraine Assistance and American Energy Acceleration Act
Description: This bill provides funding for military, humanitarian, and other support to Ukraine, NATO members, and other countries affected by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. It also addresses various matters pertaining to domestic energy production and trade, including by (1) requiring the resumption of sales of onshore and offshore oil and gas leases, and (2) facilitating exports of natural gas from the United States.
Sponsors: Rep. Boebert, Lauren [R-CO-3]
Target Audience
Population: Individuals affected by Ukraine Assistance and American Energy Acceleration Act
Estimated Size: 10000000
- The bill provides funding for military and humanitarian support to Ukraine, impacting Ukrainian citizens, military personnel, and refugees.
- Other NATO members and countries affected by the invasion by Russia will also receive assistance, impacting their populations as they may receive humanitarian or military support.
- The domestic energy provisions impact U.S. citizens, particularly workers in the oil and gas industry, by potentially increasing production activities.
- Consumers of natural gas globally may be impacted by increased exports from the U.S.
Reasoning
- The population impacted includes both those directly involved in the oil and gas industry and broader U.S. consumers who may experience price changes due to increased natural gas exports.
- The humanitarian and military aid to Ukraine will likely have less direct impact on individual wellbeing in the U.S., but societal and economic ripple effects may indirectly touch individuals.
- Given the large and varied scope of the policy's target population, impacts will vary widely based on individual circumstances, with some experiencing benefits (e.g., job creation in energy) and others facing challenges (e.g., environmental concerns or energy price hikes).
Simulated Interviews
Oil Rig Worker (Texas)
Age: 54 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 9/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm hopeful for more job stability and potential overtime which would help my family a lot.
- I worry about environmental concerns but think the economic benefits outweigh them.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 4 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 4 |
Environmental Scientist (New York)
Age: 30 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm worried this policy might slow down renewable energy progress.
- Increased fossil fuel production is a step back from addressing climate goals.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 9 |
Homemaker (Illinois)
Age: 45 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 12/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I hope this will lower gas prices for everyday use.
- I feel conflicted since I want a future with less reliance on fossil fuels for my kids.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Renewable Energy Entrepreneur (Colorado)
Age: 38 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy might reduce investment interest in renewables, which could hurt business.
- Long term I think innovation will win, but this is a setback.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 9 |
Tech Industry Analyst (California)
Age: 29 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The energy sector is a changing landscape and this policy could shift investments.
- It might lead to higher volatility in tech stocks tied to energy.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 7 |
Small Business Owner (Ohio)
Age: 35 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Financially, I barely break even because energy costs are so high.
- I hope more natural gas means lower electricity bills.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
Retired Military (Florida)
Age: 60 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I think supporting Ukraine is morally right and necessary.
- I hope the increased energy production won't affect my utility bills too much.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
College Professor (Pennsylvania)
Age: 50 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This initiative could reshape global energy dynamics, something I find professionally intriguing.
- There's also a personal concern about the environmental ramifications.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 7 |
Substitute Teacher (Louisiana)
Age: 27 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I hope this increases the demand for workers like me in the oil fields.
- I worry about the long-term sustainability of the job market in this field.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 3 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 3 |
Nonprofit Director (Washington)
Age: 40 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 4
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- My life's work involves reducing reliance on fossil fuels, and this feels like a step backward.
- We need sustainable solutions, not more drilling.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Year 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 4 | 8 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $20000000000 (Low: $15000000000, High: $25000000000)
Year 2: $18000000000 (Low: $14000000000, High: $22000000000)
Year 3: $15000000000 (Low: $12000000000, High: $18000000000)
Year 5: $10000000000 (Low: $7000000000, High: $13000000000)
Year 10: $5000000000 (Low: $3000000000, High: $7000000000)
Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)
Key Considerations
- The geopolitical situation and its duration will significantly impact the funding requirements for Ukraine-related assistance.
- Market conditions in the oil and gas industry can affect the success and cost-efficiency of lease resumption.
- Infrastructure requirements for increased gas exports need detailed planning and investment.