Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/7004

Bill Overview

Title: PIGS Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits certain methods of confining breeding pigs that restrict their movement and establishes a program to assist pig producers to comply with the prohibitions.

Sponsors: Rep. Escobar, Veronica [D-TX-16]

Target Audience

Population: individuals in the pork production and consumption chain

Estimated Size: 60000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Pig Farmer (Iowa)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's a necessary move towards better animal welfare. However, the upfront cost can be burdensome.
  • The assistance program is helpful, but it will take time to see the benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Animal Rights Activist (California)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a crucial step in the right direction for animal rights.
  • I hope it will pave the way for more comprehensive legislation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 10 7

Slaughterhouse Manager (North Carolina)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The changes may mean less efficient supply flows initially, which could be a concern.
  • With the right adaptations, I think we can maintain stability over time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Consumer (Florida)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad to hear this policy being implemented, it aligns with my values.
  • I hope it doesn't significantly affect the cost of pork.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired Agriculture Professor (Texas)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • From an academic perspective, this policy is long overdue to push ethical farming.
  • Practical implementation, however, is complex and needs tailored approaches.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Public Relations Manager in Food Industry (Illinois)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy's potential to impact consumer buying habits is significant.
  • It's both a challenge and an opportunity for brands to leverage this move.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Student (New York)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns with sustainable practices that are critical for the future.
  • I'm curious to see its real-world impacts on farming and economy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Small Pig Farm Owner (Kansas)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support the idea, but cost and resource management are huge concerns.
  • The assistance should also focus on smaller farms who may lack resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Tech Worker (Oregon)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems progressive and is a conversation starter about agricultural ethics.
  • Its long-term benefits could polish the US' image in sustainable practices globally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Agricultural Economist (Ohio)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The economic shifts require precise monitoring as direct impacts on market and cost will take a while to settle.
  • Policy implements well-being, but needs to match with economic viability over time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $36000000, High: $75000000)

Year 3: $53000000 (Low: $37000000, High: $77000000)

Year 5: $54000000 (Low: $38000000, High: $78000000)

Year 10: $55000000 (Low: $39000000, High: $80000000)

Year 100: $60000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $90000000)

Key Considerations