Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6987

Bill Overview

Title: To establish programs to reduce the impacts of vessel traffic and underwater noise on marine mammals, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill establishes programs to mitigate the impact of marine traffic on marine ecosystems and wildlife, with a particular emphasis on underwater noise. The National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration (NOAA) must maintain and expand activities to collect and assess underwater sounds in high-priority ocean and coastal locations, award grants to port authorities or related entities for implementing measures to mitigate the impact of port operations and marine traffic on marine mammals, and implement a program to reduce collisions between large whales and marine vessels. In addition, the Maritime Administration must award grants to academic or research institutions, U.S. nationals or corporations, or state or tribal governments for developing and implementing technologies that reduce underwater noise from marine vessels. The administration must also report to Congress about nonclassified naval technologies that reduce underwater noise from marine vessels.

Sponsors: Rep. Larsen, Rick [D-WA-2]

Target Audience

Population: people whose wellbeing is indirectly impacted by marine mammal conservation efforts

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Fisherman (New Bedford, Massachusetts)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about potential new restrictions due to policy.
  • Hopeful that fish stock health might improve with less ship noise.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Marine Biologist (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Believes the policy will create more opportunities for research.
  • Optimistic about improvements in marine mammal health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Port Authority Manager (Anchorage, Alaska)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hopes grants will help fund necessary upgrades for quieter operations.
  • Uncertain about how this will impact port revenues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Tourism Operator (Miami, Florida)

Age: 46 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Excited about possibilities of increased whale populations.
  • Concerned about potential limits on tourist vessels.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

Environmental Activist (San Diego, California)

Age: 38 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supports the policy as a step in the right direction for marine conservation.
  • Worries it might not be enough without more international cooperation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Retired Navy Officer (Houston, Texas)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Recognizes the need for reduced underwater noise.
  • Skeptical about potential impacts on naval operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 4

Shipbuilder (Charleston, South Carolina)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Eager to see what new technologies will emerge from the grants.
  • Worried about increased costs for shipbuilders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Software Developer (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Acknowledges the importance of marine conservation but I don't see personal impacts.
  • Feels disconnected from marine protection issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

State Government Official (Honolulu, Hawaii)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Thrilled about potential funding and support for local initiatives.
  • Sees a direct opportunity to enhance state conservation efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Small Business Owner (Portland, Oregon)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hopes for increased interest in marine wildlife through awareness of policy.
  • Concerned about stricter regulations affecting tourism business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $80000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $100000000)

Year 2: $82000000 (Low: $71000000, High: $105000000)

Year 3: $84000000 (Low: $72000000, High: $110000000)

Year 5: $88000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $115000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations