Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6964

Bill Overview

Title: To authorize leases of up to 99 years for lands held in trust for the Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation.

Description: This bill authorizes the Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation to lease their land held in trust for a term of up to 99 years. The tribe is located in western Washington State.

Sponsors: Rep. Strickland, Marilyn [D-WA-10]

Target Audience

Population: Members of the Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation

Estimated Size: 750

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Business Owner (Chehalis Reservation, WA)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this is a fantastic opportunity for our tribe. Longer leases mean I can consider expanding my business with more security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Retired (Chehalis Reservation, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the policy brings positive changes, but I'm not sure if it will affect me much. I have seen many initiatives that promised change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Real Estate Agent (Olympia, WA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm excited by the potential for more partnerships with the tribe but realistic that it will take some time for opportunities to arise.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Lawyer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could be a landmark policy for Native American tribes if it leads to similar arrangements across the country.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Student (Portland, OR)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm curious if the policy leads to sustainable development that respects the environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Teacher (Chehalis Reservation, WA)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this could enhance education funding if the tribe prospers through new leases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Non-profit worker (Tacoma, WA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm interested to see if health resources will improve as a result of increased funding from lease incomes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Investor (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could unlock new opportunities for investors interested in working with Native businesses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Fisherman (Chehalis Reservation, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm wary about how new developments might affect our water and fish populations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Historian (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While this policy is focused on one tribe, its success or failure could be pivotal.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $700000)

Year 2: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $700000)

Year 3: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $700000)

Year 5: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $700000)

Year 10: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $700000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $700000)

Key Considerations